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[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL50 TT, 3b pot - DB bluff

    • TetraQuark
      Joined: 21.05.2008 Posts: 1,521
      $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Holdem
      6 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by

      UTG ($76.72) 153bb
      Hero (UTG+1) ($172.38) 345bb
      CO ($137.66) 275bb
      BTN ($108.44) 217bb
      SB ($271.50) 543bb
      BB ($50) 100bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.75, 6 players) Hero is UTG+1 T T
      1 fold, Hero raises to $1.50, CO raises to $4.50, 3 folds, Hero calls $3

      Flop: K 9 7 ($9.75, 2 players)
      Hero checks, CO checks

      Turn: 4 ($9.75, 2 players)
      Hero bets $5.50, CO calls $5.50

      River: A ($20.75, 2 players)
      Hero bets $13, CO folds

      Final Pot: $20.75

      Hero wins $32.82 (net +$9.82)

      CO lost $10


      Villain is 20/16 AF 1.8 - loosing player.

      3BvsMP overall 4%.
      CBET by street 61/41/50

      When he ch/b flop his hands are 2nd pair type, air or maybe nuts (KK) he is trying to get tricky with.

      He should fold weaker holdings like JJ-QQ to a double barrel.

      On river AQ is the only hand he can possibly hold (not considering his tricky plays) that beats me, otherwise it is a pretty much nice card for me, right?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      I probably just check TT and hope for the best. It is closer to the top of your range so I will take my showdown value but if he bets Turn I'm check/folding.

      You can consider turning worse hands into a bluff, so perhaps 66 if you have it, or just AQ/AJs.

      On the Turn, if you want to bluff you should bet at least 2/3 pot to put pressure on his JJ and QQ. If you just bet this 60% pot, he just thinks "LOL pot odds" and just calls without batting an eyelid.

      We expect to require both Turn and River bets to push him off his hand. Ideal situation is for him to call turn and then fold river. So we should make larger bets on both streets, to increase River pot size, then steal more money when pot is larger.

      Ace is pretty much the best card for bluffing, we have AQ and AJs in our range here so I would imagine that it is pretty hard for us to have air here, with all broadways getting there besides JTs QTs QJs. We are going to have way more combos of AQ AJs KQs and also even some sets like 99/77, so he only beats those lower broadways and some pocketpairs like TT and 88 turned into a bluff.