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[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH - QTs: i dont believe you

    • Lunitis
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,136
      4 AF
      72% fold bb vs bu steal (11% call)
      43% fold vs cbet
      29% raise cbet oop (91)
      64% bet turn after raising flop (24)
      26% agg% river
      31% wtsd
      10k hands

      MP: $19.75 (39.5 bb)
      CO: $52.08 (104.2 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $53.50 (107 bb)
      SB: $14.15 (28.3 bb)
      BB: $73.22 (146.4 bb)
      UTG: $59.93 (119.9 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with T:heart: Q:heart:
      3 folds, Hero raises to $1, SB folds, BB calls $0.50

      Flop: ($2.25) 5:heart: 5:club: J:spade: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.25, BB raises to $4, Hero calls $2.75

      Turn: ($10.25) 9:club: (2 players)
      BB bets $5, Hero ?

      I was planning to raise the turn, but now that i pic some equity i dont know if i should call now.
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909
      Why would you change your plans when your bluff raise has to work less often? :)

      You can just call but I don't like the idea of changing plan in hand when you already had the info you can pick up equity on some cards. I would however usually just give up flop here often. 43% fold vs cbet is reasonably high. When he raises 30% OOP it can be with KJ hands or better for value so he's not as unbalanced and skewed towards air as you think at first.If you do think he is, you should, imo anyway, play it like you had the nuts and just call down, shove river. That's how you'd play 5x, and JJ, probably QQ+ too apart from the shove part.