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[NL2-NL10] NL10 - Overcards + flush draw

    • Philfox1985
      Joined: 18.12.2010 Posts: 934
      Played by my outs here, plus implied on the flop.

      Considered raising on the flop, but felt it was a very high variance play. Sometimes I like to avoid this as it can push me to play worse if I edge towards tilt later in the session (I'm not too bad, but will sometimes want to play for longer until I'm up).

      Anyway, why try to bluff someone who does seem willing to get the money in - he may pay me off once I hit!?

      Seat 4: Hero ( $16.46 USD ) - VPIP: 31, PFR: 25, 3B: 7, AF: 2.7, Hands: 26864
      Seat 5: Player5 ( $12.60 USD ) - VPIP: 15, PFR: 13, 3B: 8, AF: 16.0, Hands: 131

      Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $3.40 (34 bb)
      SB: $16.48 (164.8 bb)
      Hero (BB): $16.46 (164.6 bb)
      CO: $12.60 (126 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with K Q
      CO raises to $0.30, BTN folds, SB calls $0.25, Hero calls $0.20

      Flop: ($0.90) 9 4 8 (3 players)
      SB checks, Hero checks, CO bets $0.90, SB folds, Hero calls $0.90

      Turn: ($2.70) 5 (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $2.60, Hero folds

      $2.70 pot ($0.12 rake)
      Final Board: 9 4 8 5
      Hero mucked K Q and lost (-$1.20 net)
      CO mucked and won $2.58 ($1.38 net)
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi philp

      The value in raising a draw like ours comes from either making villain fold a better hand or call with worse (or a mix of both).

      I agree with you that in this case villain seems to have a strong hand because of his strong bet multiway and strong turn bet. So without even the nut flush draw and without being sure on our outs the turn fold is fine.