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[NL20-NL50] Q8s monster draw

    • daisuke3823
      Joined: 05.02.2008 Posts: 8,321
      Hand converted with online hand converter:


      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
      Known players:
      SB (Hero):

      Preflop: Hero is SB with Q, 8.
      3 folds, BU calls $0.50, Hero calls $0.25, BB checks.

      Flop: ($1.5) T, J, 2 (3 players)
      Hero bets $1.00, BB folds, BU raises to $2.00, Hero calls $1.00.

      Turn: ($5.5) 2 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BU checks.

      River: ($5.5) 5 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BU checks.

      Final Pot: $5.5.

      BU  3 hands  vpip33 pfr0 af2 wtsd100 early 8 hands vpip25 pfr13

      should I go reraise and get it in on the flop?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Preflop: I think this hand is good enough to iso-raise vs a random BU limper. Completing may be better if he is the type to float a huge variety of flops though.

      Flop: I would just pot the Flop. remember that in limped pots, the stack to pot ratio is really high, and we would want to bet larger on all streets to try build the pot.

      When he raises you, I don't like 3bet/broke here cos we are just far too deep. If he folds, we only win the pot which is 4.50. And if we get it in, I'm assuming we will be an underdog with only 35-40% equity at most. Pot will be something like 105$. We are putting in like 50$ more and getting back only 35-40, so we are losing 10-15$ on average if he shoves and we call.

      Doesn't seem like very good risk vs reward to me. So I prefer your play. I think you can consider bluffing river. He doesn't seem too strong to me, and he could have a draw as well.