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[NL2-NL10] Nl10 Ak

    • metza
      Joined: 28.01.2012 Posts: 2,220
      Full Tilt - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      UTG: $10.00
      MP: $9.45
      CO: $8.77
      BTN: $8.15
      SB: $13.73
      Hero (BB): $10.03

      SB posts SB $0.05, Hero posts BB $0.10, CO posts DB $0.10

      Pre Flop: ($0.25) Hero has A:heart: K:club:

      fold, MP raises to $0.30, fold, BTN raises to $0.60, fold, Hero raises to $1.80, fold, BTN calls $1.20

      Flop: ($4.05, 2 players) K:spade: J:spade: A:spade:
      Hero bets $3.70, BTN raises to $6.35 and is all-in, Hero calls $2.65

      Turn: ($16.75, 2 players) 4:spade:

      River: ($16.75, 2 players) 7:spade:

      BTN shows J:diamond: A:diamond: (Flush, Ace High) (Pre 31%, Flop 11%, Turn 15%)
      Hero shows A:heart: K:club: (Flush, Ace High) (Pre 69%, Flop 89%, Turn 85%)
      BTN wins $7.82
      Hero wins $7.82

      Villain is a bit loose,
      33/18/50/5/50 over 61 hands
  • 2 replies
    • Th334
      Joined: 26.11.2012 Posts: 971
      Do we know that he calls AJs here? By default I assume that we would turn our hand into a bluff preflop with a cold 4bet.
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      I think 4bet/broke should be fine here. As a fish, I'd expect him to call some 4bets with some dominated hands a lot of the time (AJ/KQ/AQ), and if he jams, we are probably committed against a range of AK/QQ+ so there's definitely value in a 4bet (we are mostly hoping he flats our 4bet with worse broadways).

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 38.82% 18.15% 20.68% AKo
      MP3 61.18% 40.50% 20.68% QQ+, AKs, AKo

      Pot will have ~16.50, we would need to call 6.35 more and we will be getting 6.35/16.50 = 38.5% equity (break-even call)

      As played, with top two pair, easy stack off. Only thing I would have done differently would be to half pot the Turn. With your sizing, I think you are almost never bluffing. You also don't need to bet so large to have a pot size shove on the Turn.