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[NL20-NL50] NL25-SH-fast A2s (two pairs vs flop ck/raise)

    • ferdy81
      Joined: 21.08.2011 Posts: 150
      Party, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players

      BB: $27.07 (108.3 bb)
      BTN: $26.88 (107.5 bb)
      SB: $41.71 (166.8 bb)
      Hero (CO): $27.65 (110.6 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with 2:heart: A:heart:
      Hero raises to $0.75, BTN folds, SB calls $0.65, BB folds

      Flop: ($1.75) 2:spade: A:diamond: 9:spade: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $1, SB raises to $3.50, Hero calls $2.50

      Turn: ($8.75) 3:diamond: (2 players)
      SB bets $6.24, Hero calls $6.24

      River: ($21.23) K:diamond: (2 players)
      SB bets $20.17, Hero folds

      Villain is playing 22/13/4.4/1.5/55/263 [vip/pfr/3bet/agg/W$SD/hands]. I doubt he is bluffing here with any weaker hands, maybe only with some Ax of spades.
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909

      Flatting the flop sucks.

      His 3bet is low, he can have AQ here, definitely all Ax of spades and possibly some AK imo since he 3bets so little he might just resteal and never 3bet IP (check stats for that). There are only 5 combos that beat you and overall your hand is just too strong but very unplayable. I think given positions as well it's just a 3bet and get it, albeit not thrilling I think top and bottom goes into your stacking off range here.

      Board: A:diamond: 9:spade: 2:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    47.14%  43.30%   3.84% { Ah2h }
      MP3    52.86%  49.02%   3.84% { 99, 22, A9s, A2s, AsKs, AsQs, AsJs, AsTs, As8s, As7s, As6s, As5s, As4s, As3s, AdKc, AhKc, AsKc, AcKd, AcKh, AcKs, AdQc, AhQc, AsQc, AcQd, AcQh, AcQs }

      Roug estimate only.. I think you have folding equity when you 3bet ofc plus your small cbet size makes it more likely for him to play back a bit. Cbet 1.25 imo. It's 1bb now but can be about 10bb by the river you put in extra easily.