[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL50 88, set vs. R rai

    • TetraQuark
      TetraQuark
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.05.2008 Posts: 1,520
      $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Holdem
      6 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      Stacks:
      Hero (UTG) ($59.81) 120bb
      UTG+1 ($36.04) 72bb
      CO ($149.39) 299bb
      BTN ($50) 100bb
      SB ($65.67) 131bb
      BB ($64.92) 130bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.75, 6 players) Hero is UTG 8 8
      Hero raises to $1.50, UTG+1 calls $1.50, CO raises to $4.50, 3 folds, Hero calls $3, UTG+1 folds

      Flop: 8 2 K ($11.25, 2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $6, Hero calls $6

      Turn: 4 ($23.25, 2 players)
      Hero checks, CO checks

      River: 5 ($23.25, 2 players)
      Hero bets $10, CO raises to $28, Hero calls $18

      Final Pot: $79.25
      Hero shows 8 8 CO shows three of a kind, Kings K K CO wins $76.75 (net +$38.25) Hero lost $38.50 UTG+1 lost $1.50


      Hi!

      Villain is 19/15 AF 2.1 - BE player.

      Sqz from CO 2.1%
      3BvsUTG 3.0%

      Cbet in 3b pot by street 74/30/ 100(4)

      River AFq 31%
      River c/r 11%
      River rai cbet 19%

      Went for a small bet on R since his range is petty face up. JJ-QQ, AK.

      When he raises me I consider three things:
      -is he rly not barreling AcKc on turn (possibly)
      -is he rly getting tricky with KK (hardly)
      -is he pot cntroling even AA on turn (possibly)
      -is AcQc AcTc AcJc in his range and is he again not DB them (judging by numbers these are prolly not even in his sqzing range)

      So I am calling this but not feeling good about it, well since he is 19/15 :rolleyes:
  • 4 replies
    • Saren113
      Saren113
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.03.2009 Posts: 2,973
      Fold pre would be my standard play. He would always barrel a fd.
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,698
      Hi.

      Pf call is std 3way when his sqz size is so small. I would bet 65% on river though. He either calls kx or folds so he could be said to have an inelastic calling range


      River is tricky. Boils down to whether he barrels flush draws always or not. If he has higher turn cbet of 40-45 and if his preflop range is wider he could have k5 55 rtc so i would jam
      Thanks
    • TetraQuark
      TetraQuark
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.05.2008 Posts: 1,520
      His pf range though is pretty much AK QQ+ by these numbers. And as you said judging by his turn cbet - 30% he can deffo have AcQc + AcKc that he doesn't barrel.

      So therefore R bet 65% and fold to shove is good?
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,698
      He reps rly narrow value range but i rly doubt this guy shows up with a bluff ever. It could be a close fold.