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[NL2-NL10] nuts on flop but FD possible

    • yaxkukmian
      Joined: 24.12.2007 Posts: 2,020
      no hud, speed.

      unknown villain (possibly bad because of stack size).

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($8.88)
      BB ($14.25)
      UTG ($1.59)
      UTG+1 ($21.51)
      CO ($7.60)
      Hero ($10)

      Dealt to Hero K:heart: J:diamond:

      fold, UTG+1 calls $0.10, CO raises to $0.30, Hero calls $0.30, fold, fold, fold

      FLOP ($0.85) 9:diamond: Q:heart: T:heart:

      CO checks, Hero bets $0.50, CO calls $0.50

      TURN ($1.85) 9:diamond: Q:heart: T:heart: 8:club:

      CO checks, Hero bets $1.15, CO calls $1.15

      RIVER ($4.15) 9:diamond: Q:heart: T:heart: 8:club: T:club:

      CO checks, Hero bets $2.70, CO calls $2.70

      CO shows Q:diamond: A:heart:
      (Pre 63%, Flop 7.3%, Turn 0.0%)

      Hero shows K:heart: J:diamond:
      (Pre 37%, Flop 92.7%, Turn 100.0%)

      Hero wins $8.92

      I could bet $0,60 here right? It was weird not seeing cbet so I bet small to induce his raise in case he has some TPTK or some QJ or even 2pair combos. When he only flats I give him some draw.

      8 is super card since all his J came and I think I can stack him. When he only calls again I give him FD or some TP range.

      On river I go for bigger bet for his Jx but also some Qx hands.

      What if he c/shoves? First thought is fold. Thinking through the hand he could slowplay set like this. Do we always fold to his shove? We still beat Jx. He might do it with bare Tx...but mostly he has FH.
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Yax,

      Preflop: I'm not a huge fan of the call with our offsuite broadway here because it has poor playability multiway (and we give good odds for the blinds/utg+1 to come along).

      Postflop: I think that we should bet bigger on that flop because most hands that ck/calls is usually a draw type hand. If he is a bad player he may play passive hands like QK/QJ/AQ/KK so betting bigger on both flop/turn is fine.

      As played if we do get raised I would not fold because he can still have Jx and it's very hard for him to show up with T9/T8/TQ that beats us.