[NL2-NL10] overpair on bad board

    • yaxkukmian
      Joined: 24.12.2007 Posts: 2,020
      no hud, speed, unknown villain.

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($8.64)
      BB ($10)
      UTG ($13.10)
      UTG+1 ($7.85)
      Hero ($10.68)
      BTN ($3.75)

      Dealt to Hero 7:spade: 7:club:

      fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.30, fold, SB calls $0.25, BB calls $0.20

      FLOP ($0.90) 4:heart: 5:club: 2:diamond:

      SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $0.65, SB calls $0.65, BB folds

      TURN ($2.20) 4:heart: 5:club: 2:diamond: 3:diamond:

      SB checks, Hero bets $1.40, SB calls $1.40

      RIVER ($5) 4:heart: 5:club: 2:diamond: 3:diamond: 3:spade:

      SB checks, Hero checks

      Hero shows 7:spade: 7:club:
      (Pre 54%, Flop 75.7%, Turn 81.8%)

      SB shows T:club: 8:heart:
      (Pre 46%, Flop 24.3%, Turn 18.2%)

      Hero wins $4.67

      Is turn bet ok? Or is it better just to check behind? I bet because if he raised me I could fold and he might have some random overcards like QJ, KQ,...

      When he just calls turn it sure looks strong. We can't bet river right? FH, 66 beat us,...we can beat only 5x, 54,52, 4x. Or is bet/folding still better? I would go for $1,80 but it's really ugly board because he still can have 88+ or Ax.
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Yax,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: Flop cbet is fine multiway but considering that every Ax/6x got there on the turn what exaclty are we valuebeting versus? We can't really make much better fold and despite getting lucky here and getting called by gutshots I think that you are valuetowning yourself every time.

      So I would check back the turn and fold river.