This site uses cookies to improve your browsing experience. By continuing to browse the website, you accept such cookies. For more details and to change your settings, see our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy. Close

[NL20-NL50] bluff catch river vs missed gutters

    • PoincaresConjecture
      Joined: 09.10.2011 Posts: 115
      PokerStars - $0.50 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 3 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      BB: $20.00
      Hero (BTN): $60.49
      SB: $50.00

      SB posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero has 7:club: 5:club:

      Hero raises to $1.00, fold, BB calls $0.50

      Flop: ($2.25, 2 players) Q:club: 4:heart: A:diamond:
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.50, BB calls $1.50

      Turn: ($5.25, 2 players) 7:heart:
      BB checks, Hero checks

      River: ($5.25, 2 players) 9:club:
      BB bets $2.00, Hero calls $2.00

      villain is a fish. i call river vs missed gut shots. how to play this correctly?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Flop: Bet is too large. vs a 40bb stack, you can just halfpot your entire range here and on most semi-dry flops, and maybe bet 40% pot on super dry flops like A22r.

      River spot is close. You are getting 2/9,25 pot odds = 21.6%. A call here can never be too wrong, and fishes tend to bluff with smaller sizes.

      In terms of combos, we beat KT KJ JT which is 48 combos, maybe even a hand like 53s too (4 combos). We would need him to have ~ 200 combos of AX hands here. I think it's safe to say that we are beating a sufficient portion of his range.