[NL20-NL50] flopped set facing flush completing turn 3 way

    • PoincaresConjecture
      PoincaresConjecture
      Bronze
      Joined: 09.10.2011 Posts: 115
      PokerStars - $0.50 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      MP: $55.41
      CO: $20.00
      BTN: $74.40
      SB: $68.09
      BB: $57.30
      Hero (UTG): $50.75

      SB posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero has 6:club: 6:spade:

      Hero raises to $1.50, MP calls $1.50, fold, fold, SB calls $1.25, fold

      Flop: ($5.00, 3 players) A:heart: 3:club: 6:heart:
      SB checks, Hero bets $3.00, MP calls $3.00, SB calls $3.00

      Turn: ($14.00, 3 players) 8:heart:
      SB checks, Hero checks, MP bets $7.50, SB calls $7.50, Hero calls $7.50

      River: ($36.50, 3 players) J:diamond:
      SB checks, Hero checks, MP bets $15.50, fold, Hero calls $15.50
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      I would usually bet Turn myself with a set in a heads up pot. This hand gets trickier since it's 3way, I think the likelihood that someone has a flush is significantly higher so I am fine with the check.

      We also have ~20% equity vs a flush anyway, to hit a full house or quads. And we are getting slightly worse than 25% pot odds so assuming we do have a little implied odds, it's more than enough to call here.

      River is tricky. He can have flushes here, but pot odds are too good, and I think given his sizing, I would not be surprised to see 33 sometimes, and also maybe some 2 pairs.

      Another thing working in your favour is that he calls from MP, which should significantly reduce the number of speculative hands in his range. For example, I may call 78s in the BU vs UTG raise but I'm probably always folding or 3betting in MP. I think a c/c here could be reasonable.

      Thanks.