[NL20-NL50] full house

    • daisuke3823
      Joined: 05.02.2008 Posts: 8,321
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:


      $0.1/$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
      Known players:
      BU (Hero):

      Preflop: Hero is BU with T, T.
      2 folds, CO raises to $0.70, Hero calls $0.70, 2 folds, BB folds.

      Flop: ($1.75) 8, J, J (2 players)
      CO bets $1.09, Hero calls $1.09.

      Turn: ($3.93) 9 (2 players)
      CO bets $2.06, Hero calls $2.06.

      River: ($8.05) T (2 players)
      CO checks, Hero bets $4.00, CO raises to $15.34, Hero calls $11.34.

      Final Pot: $38.73.

      his stats  207 hands  vpip20 pfr17 af3 wtsd25 w$SD80 NETWON+80  fold to 3BET 100  flop CB50 turn 0  flopAgg40  turn Agg25  river Agg11     

      he doesnt CB on the turn,but here did here, and his river AGG is low,but he check raised on the river here.
      where should I fold?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      I'm definitely calling twice when top card is paired. He can have some barrel bluffs sometimes with overcards, maybe with clubs or even a hand like KT/AT.

      When we get check/raised on the River, there's no way we are folding. Question is whether to jam or call (if we were deep). Over here, we beat 88/99 which should play like that a lot of the time, hoping to stack our trip Jacks. So this is already not a fold for sure since we beat 6 combos and pot odds are sufficient for us to call off. He's not going to have JJ too often (1 combo), and given he seems tighter from CO, I don't think he has J8o, and probably not even J9o as well.