[NL2-NL10] NL10 AJs river?

    • axeboy90
      axeboy90
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.01.2010 Posts: 3,023
      Pacific $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players - View hand 2079860
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      MP1: $11.61 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 8, 3B: 5, AF: 2.7, Hands: 894
      MP2: $17.08 - VPIP: 29, PFR: 11, 3B: 9, AF: 4.5, Hands: 38
      CO: $13.27 - VPIP: 47, PFR: 9, 3B: 4, AF: 1.4, Hands: 576
      BTN: $13.72 - VPIP: 35, PFR: 13, 3B: 6, AF: 2.5, Hands: 1544
      SB: $10.56 - VPIP: 12, PFR: 7, 3B: 3, AF: 1.9, Hands: 10121
      BB: $6.27 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 8, 3B: 2, AF: 2.8, Hands: 3228
      UTG: $10.04 - VPIP: 6, PFR: 4, 3B: 1, AF: 2.3, Hands: 428
      Hero (UTG+1): $10.46 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 13, 3B: 5, AF: 3.8, Hands: 26050
      UTG+2: $10.65 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 8, 3B: 5, AF: 2.7, Hands: 894

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is UTG+1 with A:spade: J:spade:
      1 fold, Hero raises to $0.40, 3 folds, CO calls $0.40, 3 folds

      Flop: ($0.95) J:heart: J:club: 3:diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.37, CO calls $0.37

      Turn: ($1.69) T:heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.84, CO calls $0.84

      River: ($3.37) 6:heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.88, CO raises to $6.75, Hero folds
  • 5 replies
    • axeboy90
      axeboy90
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.01.2010 Posts: 3,023

      Board: J:heart: J:club: 3:diamond:  T:heart:  6:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    45.24%  38.10%   7.14% { AsJs }
      MP3    54.76%  47.62%   7.14% { 66, 33, AJs, KJs, QJs, JTs, AhTh, KhTh, QhTh, Ah3h, AJo, KJo, QJo, JTo }


      Now i think a call would be good.
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Axeboy,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: Why cbet so small? You should go for a bigger valuebet as we need to get a lot of money in there to play for stacks.

      As played the river fold is a bit tight given the odds however it's possible that villain only raises flushes. He can have some bluffs and most likely not many Jx hands. WHy did you give him such a wide range in your equilab?
    • CPallo
      CPallo
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.04.2012 Posts: 4,343
      Your villain is so passive that on river I'd go for bet-fold. He won't be raising you with trips here, it's FH or Flush IMO. Unless his riverAFQ is exceptionally high.
    • axeboy90
      axeboy90
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.01.2010 Posts: 3,023
      Thanks Bogdan.

      WHy did you give him such a wide range in your equilab?
      Because he's a fish. And these are, I think, the hands that he will call a raise preflop.
      I cbetted small to keep him in the pot, as I saw that they usually fold to a cbet on this kind of board.

      What Jx you think he has on the river?
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by axeboy90
      Thanks Bogdan.

      WHy did you give him such a wide range in your equilab?
      Because he's a fish. And these are, I think, the hands that he will call a raise preflop.
      I cbetted small to keep him in the pot, as I saw that they usually fold to a cbet on this kind of board.

      What Jx you think he has on the river?
      These are the boards that fish don't like to fold on much that's why we don't bluff them often.

      It's very dry and even overcards can easily call (from most fish).'

      So we should bet bigger.

      To be honest I doubt that he raises many Jx on the river given how the hand got played. It looks like he has flushes or nothing so it comes down to how much nothing we think he has. So as a default folding is ok but we may have induced him to bluffs with our bet sizings.