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[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH - AK: after representing weakness

    • Lunitis
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,136
      1.9 af
      22% fold vs 3bet mp (39% overall)
      3.7% 4bet range
      50% fold vs cbet flop
      32% bet turn vs missed bet overall
      44% wwsf
      33% wtsd
      47k hands

      MP: $57.48 (115 bb)
      Hero (CO): $50.75 (101.5 bb)
      BTN: $50 (100 bb)
      SB: $20 (40 bb)
      BB: $53 (106 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with A:club: K:heart:
      MP raises to $1.25, Hero raises to $4, 3 folds, MP calls $2.75

      Flop: ($8.75) 9:spade: 7:heart: J:spade: (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero checks

      Turn: ($8.75) Q:spade: (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero ?

      Very heavy flop flop i decide to give up. When the turn its checked in this kind of spots i almost never try to bluff because when i dont bet the flop the only thing i can represent its something i catch on the turn, and specially in this kind of turn i think villains will put me very much in flush draw and call me twice with some random pair.
      I know that when villain checks the turn he cant have much of a hand neither (probably a pp that missed the set or a mid pair with flush draw), but because of what i said before i think i will get called down by lots of garbage.
      Am i giving too much credibility to villains? Should i bet turn and river anyway?
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909

      It's close imo.. with so little equity I prefer not betting twice but would consider one bet on the turn because of the immediate folding equity. He can fold some small pocket pairs imo, you can still represent a few Qx hands plus you are not trying to make him fold any good hand.

      You can also consider check back turn and delay delay cbet if he checks 3 times since then it's clear he has a weak hand imo. Might work more often but it's very dependent on previous hands between you guys.

      The short version: vacuum play and one turn bet should work often enough imo but for 2 barrels I prefer more equity.