[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH - TT: vs weird sizes

    • Lunitis
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,136
      3.2 af
      18% OR UTG
      48% fold vs 3bet
      64% cbet flop
      50% fold vs raise flop
      61% cbet turn
      59% cbet river
      52% wwsf
      28% wtsd
      7.4k hands

      Hero (CO): $52.51 (105 bb)
      BTN: $51.58 (103.2 bb)
      SB: $112.48 (225 bb)
      BB: $20 (40 bb)
      UTG: $41.25 (82.5 bb)
      MP: $36.25 (72.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with T:heart: T:spade:
      UTG raises to $1.23, MP folds, Hero calls $1.23, 3 folds

      Flop: ($3.21) 3:club: 4:spade: 7:diamond: (2 players)
      UTG bets $1.25, Hero calls $1.25

      Turn: ($5.71) 6:heart: (2 players)
      UTG bets $4.75, Hero calls $4.75

      River: ($15.21) 5:diamond: (2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero

      Should i raise the flop? I think i ahead very very often, thats why i just called, but im giving away some of my equity against overcards, 55/66.
      On the turn i didnt believe him much, 55 its very narrow part of his range, he might do that with overcards or 22.
      On the river i think there is an opportunity to bluff because i cant see him with 88 there, and i can have it, and he is just calling to split.
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909

      On the flop you are usually ahead but I don't think you are WAY ahead of his range. 55 and 66 aren't doing too badly plus he has all better overpairs and sets. You can definitely continue because he has many hands like overcards. Raising is usually not great though unless you know for certain this bet size means weak hand or you think he just always calls random crap to hit 6 outs. If you raise and only get 3bet often by better, it doesn't help you because it forces your opponent to fold hands he doesn't play well later anyway or he gets in more money with a better hand than yours.

      As played, I don't really like the turn call. You don't have outs and you get bad pot odds. He is also not extremely aggressive judging by stats, I could be wrong since I obv haven't played with him.

      On the river I agree that he almost never as 8x and you can have 8x quite a bit more often than him. That said, I think a normal sized bet won't work too often. Usually I prefer shoving 8x and hands I turn into a bluff here. If smaller bet is perceived to be non 8x I would bet that with 8x ofc to get value but in theory you should bet your 8x the same way as your bluffs if 8x is your only value hand.