[NL20-NL50] AKo trips river raised

    • Gonchan
      Gonchan
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.06.2011 Posts: 2,867
      Party, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      UTG: $82.91 (165.8 bb)
      SB: $35.91 (71.8 bb)
      BB: $51.50 (103 bb)
      BTN: $85.28 (170.6 bb)
      Hero (MP): $50.14 (100.3 bb)
      CO: $58.60 (117.2 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with K A
      UTG folds, Hero raises to $1.50, CO calls $1.50, 3 folds

      Flop: ($3.75) K K T (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.38, CO calls $2.38

      Turn: ($8.51) 6 (2 players)
      Hero bets $5.39, CO calls $5.39

      River: ($19.29) J (2 players)
      Hero bets $12.22, CO raises to $49.33, Hero calls $28.65 and is all-in

      Results:
      $101.03 pot ($3 rake)
      Final Board: K K T 6 J
      Hero showed K A and lost (-$50.14 net)
      CO showed K J and won $98.03 ($47.89 net)


      22/18/1.0k

      ja.pokerstrategy.com
      ボード: KdThKs6sJd
      エクイティ 勝ち 引分
      MP3 42.31% 30.77% 11.54% { AhKc }
      CO 57.69% 46.15% 11.54% { JJ, AKs, KJs+, AKo, KJo+ }

      I excluded gut shot straight.

      Should I call river?
  • 3 replies
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Hey,

      AK 3bets preflop and TT is still in his range. I don't think he raises KQ on the J.. He only gets called by a curious AK so he doesn't have that either. You are beat 90% of the time here imo so it's just a fold. Keep in mind the board is great to slowplay hands as well so you have to include KT in his range as well.
    • Gonchan
      Gonchan
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.06.2011 Posts: 2,867
      river c/f because his range was too strong?
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Originally posted by Gonchan
      river c/f because his range was too strong?
      No, you can still bet imo.. I don't expect him to call all of this but it's close to what his range is.. he might have some K9s-K8s hands as well, but not many combos so not an incredible difference.


      Board: K:diamond: K:spade: T:heart:  6:spade:  J:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    67.56%  67.56%   0.00% { AhKc }
      MP3    32.44%  32.44%   0.00% { JJ-TT, ATs, KJs+, QJs, ATo, KTo+, QJo }


      AK is definitely very close, if not the, bottom of your value betting range here.