[NL2-NL10] going broke with the set

    • Rahica
      Rahica
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.06.2011 Posts: 149
      Hi ! Tell me what do you think about this hand pls !

      IPoker, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BB: $10 (100 bb)
      UTG: $9.90 (99 bb)
      MP: $9.83 (98.3 bb)
      Hero (CO): $20.08 (200.8 bb)
      BTN: $12.07 (120.7 bb)
      SB: $9.95 (99.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with 7 7
      UTG folds, MP raises to $0.30, Hero calls $0.30, BTN calls $0.30, 2 folds

      Flop: ($1.05) A 8 7 (3 players)
      MP bets $0.78, Hero calls $0.78, BTN calls $0.78

      Turn: ($3.39) 5 (3 players)
      MP bets $2.54, Hero raises to $5.50, BTN calls $5.50, MP calls $2.96

      River: ($19.89) 4 (3 players)
      MP checks, Hero checks, BTN bets $5.49 and is all-in, MP calls $3.25 and is all-in, Hero calls $5.49

      Results:
      $34.12 pot ($2.00 rake)
      Final Board: A 8 7 5 4
      MP showed 8 A and lost (-$9.83 net)
      Hero mucked 7 7 and lost (-$12.07 net)
      BTN showed 6 5 and won $32.12 ($20.05 net)
  • 4 replies
    • Rahica
      Rahica
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.06.2011 Posts: 149
      I think I should've raised on the flop and if re-raised, should've shoved.. If my raise was called on that flop, I should've shoved the turn...
    • w34z3l
      w34z3l
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,295
      Hey Rahica,

      Preflop is fine.

      I would raise directly on the flop. You are 3 way and there are plenty of draws available.

      When MP double barrels big into 2 players he is usually very strong. I would shove all in on turn.

      As played you are in a terrible spot on the river. BTN is is very unlikely to be bluffing here when he has such a small amount remaning and MP has to have something to call. It's pretty likely one of them has a 6. Having said that you only need to have the best hand 16% of the time to make that call. I'm not convinced it makes a huge difference whether you call or fold. I'd probably fold. At least you save yourself some variance this way.
    • Rahica
      Rahica
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.06.2011 Posts: 149
      Best hand evaluation I had on pokerstrategy.com .. This was the exact answer I was searching for... As played: preflop, flop, turn, and river analysis and what you would've done ! Great judging ! Tx w34z3l !
    • w34z3l
      w34z3l
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,295
      Thanks for kind words Rahica, glad I could help :)