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[NL20-NL50] NL50 KK set river

    • double2
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (SB): $56.49 (113 bb)
      BB: $76.54 (153.1 bb)
      UTG: $77.09 (154.2 bb)
      MP: $47.66 (95.3 bb)
      CO: $56.21 (112.4 bb)
      BTN: $71.59 (143.2 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with K K
      4 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, BB calls $1

      Flop: ($3) 7 K 9 (2 players)
      Hero bets $2, BB calls $2

      Turn: ($7) 6 (2 players)
      Hero bets $4, BB calls $4

      River: ($15) J (2 players)
      Hero checks, BB bets $24.50

      Villain 20k hands
      call BB vs SB steal 28%
      fold to cbet flop 43%
      raise cbet flop 10%
      fold to cbet turn 33%
      bet vs missed river IP 72% (18)
      WTSD 27%
      WWSF 47%
      Agg freq 44/33/31

      Notes: "-01/13 nl50, vs me, overflat BB QTo, 4way pot, c-c-c KT9ss, c/c 7, db 66% river 6"

      I'm obviously not folding. But I struggled about a shove, I am not sure he plays sets this way. I think he might play this way T8 and QT, maybe KJ (but I'm blocking a lot of those). Based on stats and that note I assume he turns also hands into bluffs.
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909

      sets raise ealier usually so I am really doubting our hand strength vs his value range.. we beat his bluffs (and made hands he turns into bluffs) but almost no value hands apart from JJ imo.

      Just call and make another note to find out what overbetting can mean.

      LE: That's why I don't like checking here when you can't check/shove, even vs a normal bet. Sets should have raised already so check/raising rarely gets called.