[NL20-NL50] NL25sh 99 turn to bluff on 4-flush board

    • member001
      Joined: 18.03.2010 Posts: 288
      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players

      Hero (BTN): $51.10 (204.4 bb)
      SB: $32.39 (129.6 bb) unknown
      BB: $25 (100 bb)
      UTG: $83.27 (333.1 bb)
      MP: $50.57 (202.3 bb)
      CO: $50.83 (203.3 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with 9 9
      3 folds, Hero raises to $0.50, SB raises to $1, BB folds, Hero calls $0.50

      Flop: ($2.25) Q 4 5 (2 players)
      SB bets $1.25, Hero calls $1.25

      Turn: ($4.75) A (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero checks

      River: ($4.75) T (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $2.70 ???

      , SB calls $2.70

      Results: $10.15 pot ($0.46 rake)
      Final Board: Q 4 5 A T
      Hero showed 9 9 and lost (-$4.95 net)
      SB showed T Q and won $9.69 ($4.74 net)

      At least my read was good that he didn't have a heart. :f_cry:

      Preflop: standard? Clearly never folding to the 3bet for those odds.

      Flop: Again I don't think I can fold on this board for these odds (maybe this is getting me into trouble?) but a raise would isolate me against better, so I just call.

      Turn: nasty card for me, I check behind with the intention of folding if he bets the river.

      River: when he checks again, I get an attack of FPS. I think he rarely has a heart, because he has one less than half the time anyway and it is even less likely given that he failed to barrel the turn or bet the river. So I turn my hand into a bluff and try to represent the one-card flush. Good idea or not - should he fold non-flushes often enough here for this to be profitable?
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909

      I think Pre, Flop and Turn are OK given your thinking. River is not FPS at all imo.. you can have Jh, Kh here often enough, your line is believable and he never has Kh imo thus betting 2/3 pot or so should show a profit.