[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH - K3s: FD in 3bet pot

    • Lunitis
      Lunitis
      Gold
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,132
      25/21
      3.4 af
      55% steal BU
      59% fold vs 3bet (61% BU)
      5.4% overall 4bet range (8.4% 4bet range bu)
      57% fold vs cbet 3b
      11% raise cbet 3b
      44% wwsf
      46k hands

      Read: more than one month ago raised me 6.1 over cbet 1.9 in 3bet pot with 77 in 743ss (nl25)

      Hero cbets under average in 3bet pot

      CO: $20 (40 bb)
      BTN: $58.96 (117.9 bb)
      SB: $62.64 (125.3 bb)
      Hero (BB): $54.99 (110 bb)
      UTG: $35.47 (70.9 bb)
      MP: $76.92 (153.8 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with 3:diamond: K:diamond:
      3 folds, BTN raises to $1.25, SB folds, Hero raises to $4.50, BTN calls $3.25

      Flop: ($9.25) 7:heart: 6:diamond: T:diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $5, BTN raises to $13.50, Hero ?
  • 4 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      I think you can't get away from your hand. Sometimes you will run into the nut flush draw but I believe at NL50, people do raise many worse flush draws here still.

      While your image is good on this board (your low cbet frequency should give you more credit esp on this type of boards), and his raise cbet isn't too high at 11%, I think he could def have a few bluffs still and we are going to take down the 27$ in the pot a lot of the time.

      I would consider bet/folding flop with a lower flush draw, like Jd5d for example. I also think you should consider the alternative line of c/r Flop and just shoving turn, since we can expect him to stab when checked to with a really high frequency and we should try to prevent him from betting all the time by having some sort of c/c and c/r range to counter that.

      Thanks.
    • double2
      double2
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      Pre flop, should we be 3bet/folding this hand given the stats of our oponent? I might as well save my 3bets to Ax and 3bet/5bet ship (With that sample I would look to fold to 5bet stat). Or should we be doing both things vs this player? 3bet folding K3s and 3bet/5betting A3s?
    • Lunitis
      Lunitis
      Gold
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,132
      15% fold vs 5bet (75) :f_o: , forget about 5bet bluff.
      BTW what range would you shove if he 4bets?
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      @double2: Lunitis made a good point, we should use a pure value range.

      @Lunitis: 88+,AQ+, maybe AJ too.