[NL2-NL10] QTo call push with mid pair

    • mlatasrb
      Joined: 01.04.2012 Posts: 2,722
      iPoker - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BB: 95.5 BB
      UTG: 133.4 BB
      Hero (MP): 112.6 BB
      CO: 104.5 BB
      BTN: 30.4 BB
      SB: 107.4 BB

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q:club: T:diamond:

      fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, CO calls 3 BB, fold, fold, fold

      Flop: (7.5 BB, 2 players) J:spade: A:spade: 3:heart:
      Hero bets 5.6 BB, CO calls 5.6 BB

      Turn: (18.7 BB, 2 players) Q:heart:
      Hero bets 11 BB, CO calls 11 BB

      River: (40.7 BB, 2 players) A:diamond:
      Hero checks, CO bets 84.9 BB, Hero calls 84.9 BB

      Hero shows Q:club: T:diamond: (Two Pair, Aces and Queens) (Pre 59%, Flop 39%, Turn 73%)
      CO shows 4:spade: 5:spade: (One Pair, Aces) (Pre 41%, Flop 61%, Turn 27%)
      Hero wins 196.5 BB

      23 hands, VPiP 30, PFr 13

      One hand, on flop Th7h2c he check raised me 3 way with 4c7c, and pushed turn (7$)

      Is my turn barrel ok with some equity? I planned to check call river on missed fd, since in his calling range there are more fd than Ax?
      River I would fold to less than 75% bet pot size, but I think he never plays sets like this, or even Ax he would bet smaller than shove to make me call. Is river call ok?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi mlatasrb,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: I don't mind a cbet here to take down the pot however on the turn we could start bluff catching versus aggro guy. I feel that there are actually a lot more Ax hands (since he is fishy) than draws even if we add both flushes in and some gutshots.

      So I feel that our bet is really thin.

      As played the river is interesting because he is trying to rep a strong Ax or boat and since we've already seen him bet big/overbet as bluff (the previous hand you listed in your notes) I'd be tempted to bluff catch as well (as I doubt he ships A2 there).