[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL50 AA, calldown

    • TetraQuark
      Joined: 21.05.2008 Posts: 1,521
      $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Holdem
      6 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      Hero (UTG) ($69.73) 139bb
      UTG+1 ($74.87) 150bb
      CO ($66.90) 134bb
      BTN ($54.20) 108bb
      SB ($98.37) 197bb
      BB ($67.57) 135bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.75, 6 players) Hero is UTG A A
      Hero raises to $1.50, UTG+1 calls $1.50, 4 folds

      Flop: 2 8 7 ($3.75, 2 players)
      Hero bets $2.50, UTG+1 raises to $7.50, Hero calls $5

      Turn: Q ($18.75, 2 players)
      Hero checks, UTG+1 bets $11, Hero calls $11

      River: 9 ($40.75, 2 players)
      Hero checks, UTG+1 bets $20, Hero calls $20

      Final Pot: $80.75


      Villain is 24/21 AF 3.2 - winning reg.

      MP CC is 4%

      RAI CBET by street 23/29/31

      AFQ by street 49/37/27

      WTSD 30%

      On what board textures can we calldown if ever?

      287Qss9 for example is very ugly and I think I should fold turn already. Same would make sense on any heart turn or T, J maybe?

      If turn + river are unconnecting bricks like 3c 4c, do we make an easier calldown?
  • 2 replies
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909

      I recommend folding flop here.. You are looking to calldown on blanks which aren't many and being OOP, even blanks are hard to maneuver.

      If he raises cbet a lot just check/call a stronger range and cbet very polarized depending on how often he folds so you can respond with a 3bet to his raise, instead of thinking about calling.
    • Anger86
      Joined: 17.08.2008 Posts: 511
      IMO, also bet/fold on the flop since 4% is about JJ-22 [4.52%].
      Which is most likely sets, who raise flop. From this range sets = 17.6%
      (Given by FlopZilla)

      I don't expect Villain's to chose SC's over PP's in UTG+1.

      IMO, 1st Tier of flatting hands are always PP's, then 2nd - Axs or SC's.

      Also, his fold to F cbet or T cbet combined in this position should be very high,
      since his range is often pretty weak.

      Also considering his range here, I'd barrel my ass of on broadway-ish boards +/-.

      If you see him flat also QQ-KK, then it might be a different story.