[NL2-NL10] ep KQ, 3rd value bet?

    • Imimba1
      Imimba1
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.12.2011 Posts: 2,897
      Poker Stars $5.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 2084265
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      Hero (UTG): $7.00 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 16, 3B: 4, AF: 2,0, Hands: 94423
      CO: $2.00 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 15, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 13
      BTN: $10.44 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 12, 3B: 3, AF: 1,2, cc:7, wts:22; Hands: 380
      SB: $5.16 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 15, 3B: 0, AF: 1,6, Hands: 33
      BB: $6.58 - VPIP: 42, PFR: 18, 3B: 3, AF: 1,6, Hands: 212

      Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is UTG with Q :heart: K :spade:
      Hero raises to $0.15, 1 fold, BTN calls $0.15, 2 folds

      Flop: ($0.37) J :club: K :club: 5 :heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.24, BTN calls $0.24

      Turn: ($0.85) Q :spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.60, BTN calls $0.60

      River: ($2.05) 5 :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero ?

      Basic handreading: he most probably raises sets earlier in the hand, so I should be good right now, shouldnt I?
  • 6 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Imimba,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: BTN seems like a nit so what range do you think he calls preflop with? He may easily have AK type hands along with a lot of pairs.

      Nits like him (very passive overall) also slowplay sets so I wouldn't be surprised if he calls 55 or JJ.

      As played both flop and turn look fine and on the river we only lose to 4 combos and we beat AK which can be upwards of 8 combos.

      So yes, it should be an easy bet for value (villain may also have KJs, 2 combos).
    • Imimba1
      Imimba1
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.12.2011 Posts: 2,897
      Originally posted by BogdanPS
      Hi Imimba,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: BTN seems like a nit so what range do you think he calls preflop with? He may easily have AK type hands along with a lot of pairs.

      Nits like him (very passive overall) also slowplay sets so I wouldn't be surprised if he calls 55 or JJ.

      As played both flop and turn look fine and on the river we only lose to 4 combos and we beat AK which can be upwards of 8 combos.

      So yes, it should be an easy bet for value (villain may also have KJs, 2 combos).
      +1
    • Imimba1
      Imimba1
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.12.2011 Posts: 2,897
      +1
    • Imimba1
      Imimba1
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.12.2011 Posts: 2,897
      +1
    • ilidek
      ilidek
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.07.2010 Posts: 2,952
      R: b/f 1.4 ?
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by ilidek
      R: b/f 1.4 ?
      We can probably bet even more at 1.6 or so. His range is KJ/KQ/AK and some slowplayed sets.