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[NL2-NL10] NL 10 AKs UTG

    • Beldyn
      Joined: 14.05.2009 Posts: 606
      Full Tilt Poker $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players - View hand 2084707
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      SB: $8.02
      BB: $6.60
      UTG: $4.00
      Hero (UTG+1): $10.00
      MP1: $7.48
      MP2: $10.00
      CO: $10.00
      BTN: $8.96

      CO posts a big blind ($0.10)

      Pre Flop: ($0.25) Hero is UTG+1 with K :diamond: A :diamond:
      1 fold, Hero raises to $0.40, 2 folds, CO calls $0.30, 3 folds

      Flop: ($0.95) J :diamond: 5 :diamond: 6 :spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.60, CO raises to $9.60, Hero folds

      With 2 overs and and nut flush draw my fold on flop is ok ? I have 90 hands with villain and he has 19 % agg freq on flop and agg factor 1.5. Thanks!
  • 2 replies
    • Dracsharp
      Joined: 22.01.2010 Posts: 2,478
      It's okay, mostly i see these lines from combo draws, if he ever done something like this i would surely call.
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      his line seems mostly like a combo draw, though I'm not so sure if we can call here. I'm going to heavily weight his range towards combodraws, and add a few combos of sets. Let's see if we can call here.

      Pot odds being offered: 45%

      1) 3 combos of sets and all combos of AJ
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 45.64% 45.64% 0.00% AdKd
      MP3 54.36% 54.36% 0.00% 55, AJs, 9d8d, 8d7d, 8d6d, 7d6d, 6d4d, AJo

      2) 3 combos of sets
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 44.72% 44.72% 0.00% AdKd
      MP3 55.28% 55.28% 0.00% 55, 9d8d, 8d7d, 8d6d, 7d6d, 6d4d

      3) 2 combos of sets

      I think it's super close, I did give him way too many combos of AJ and probably too many combos of sets too. I think you can make a crying call here.