[NL20-NL50] Nl25 Sh Aa

    • Csubakoppanny
      Joined: 14.12.2010 Posts: 4,265
      $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players

      Hero (UTG): $26.36 (105.4 bb)
      BB: $25.92 (103.7 bb)
      SB: $28.29 (113.2 bb)
      CO: $27.73 (110.9 bb)
      MP: $25 (100 bb)
      BTN: $25.11 (100.4 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with A A
      Hero raises to $0.75, 2 folds, BTN calls $0.75, 2 folds

      Flop: ($1.85) 9 9 4 (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.25, BTN calls $1.25

      Turn: ($4.35) J (2 players)
      Hero bets $3.25, BTN calls $3.25

      River: ($10.85) 6 (2 players)
      Hero bets $6.25, BTN raises to $12.50, Hero calls $6.25

      $35.85 pot ($1.79 rake)
      Final Board: 9 9 4 J 6
      Hero mucked A A and lost (-$17.75 net)
      BTN showed A 9 and won $34.06 ($16.31 net)

      My opponent within 340 hands:
      AF F/T/R: 2.3/1.9/5.5
      AFQ F/T/R: 21/29/28

      My problem is on the river... We can tell that a minr from a fish is usually for value especially on the river.
      However it was an instant minraise and considering his high river agression (small sample), I though it would be bluffs/Jx enough times for my call to be profitable.
      What do you think?
  • 1 reply
    • w34z3l
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,295
      Hey Csubakoppanny,

      Hand looks fine until the river, where you should probably fold.

      Firstly if your opponent is bluffing, what is he bluffing with? There are no draws that can really call flop and turn. It's unlikely villain is going to turn something like 88 into a bluff, micro-stakes players usually don't think like this.

      As for raising a J, I also think it is unlikely. The board is paired, you 3 barreled, you could easily have a 9. Also from villain's perspective what worse hands from your 3barrel range is he expecting a call from on the river? Most villains would flat a Jx.

      On the other hand it is very easy for villain to slowplay a hand like 9x or 44 on such a board texture.