[NL2-NL10] 99 call down vs. LAG

    • sketchzr
      sketchzr
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.08.2009 Posts: 222
      Villain cbet 100% and can double/triple barrel, is calling ok here?

      Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      SB: $16.46 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 16, 3B: 6, AF: 1.0, Hands: 99
      BB: $10.05 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 14, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 37
      UTG: $22.09 - VPIP: 28, PFR: 21, 3B: 0, AF: 2.4, Hands: 72
      MP: $13.60 - VPIP: 9, PFR: 9, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 47
      CO: $10.22 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 10, 3B: 0, AF: 2.0, Hands: 79
      Hero (BTN): $10.17

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BTN with 9:club: 9:spade:
      UTG raises to $0.30, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.30, 2 folds

      Flop: ($0.75) T:club: 3:diamond: 5:club: (2 players)
      UTG bets $0.45, Hero calls $0.45

      Turn: ($1.65) 5:diamond: (2 players)
      UTG bets $1.20, Hero calls $1.20

      River: ($4.05) 7:heart: (2 players)
      UTG bets $2.90, Hero calls $2.90

      Final Pot: $9.85
      UTG shows A:heart: J:heart:
      Hero shows 9:club: 9:spade:
      Hero wins $9.41
      (Rake: $0.44)
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      HI Sketchzr,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: you do have a small sample on him so I doubt those reads are 100% reliable (however if we've seen him bluff - bc of showdowns or fold to raises- then that's better).

      However I agree with you that his line here doesn't add up because he bets pretty small on the flop less than 2/3 (60%) then he goes to 3/4 (73%) and finally to another 3/4 bet on the river. I'd expect overpairs/sets to bet this flop at least 75%. Of course this is villain dependent and he may play like this weaker pairs like Tx or JJ but since both draws missed (and he could easily barrel either) the river is a fine call.