[NL2-NL10] AA, push, or get it in on turn?

    • Imimba1
      Imimba1
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.12.2011 Posts: 2,897
      Poker Stars $5.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2085100
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      MP: $3.94 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 7, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 28
      Hero (CO): $5.07 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 16, 3B: 4, AF: 2,0, Hands: 95549
      BTN: $4.00 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 14, 3B: 7, AF: 2,0, Hands: 211
      SB: $5.00 - VPIP: 26, PFR: 19, 3B: 4, AF: 2,6, Hands: 162
      BB: $4.98 - VPIP: 13, PFR: 7, 3B: 3, AF: 5,0, Hands: 191
      UTG: $4.44 - VPIP: 52, PFR: 24, 3B: 4, AF: 1,8, Hands: 282
      Foldto3bet:3/9; donk:23% (underpair, TPNK)

      Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is CO with A :spade: A :diamond:
      UTG raises to $0.10, 1 fold, Hero raises to $0.47, 3 folds, UTG calls $0.37

      Flop: ($1.01) 9 :spade: Q :spade: 9 :heart: (2 players)
      UTG bets $0.85, Hero? He has 3.12$ behind. A pot size raise is actually more, so it isnt out of the question.
  • 3 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Imimba,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: Do you expect villain to bet the turn if we call (without a hand)? How about him continuing after he checks the turn?

      He seems fishy so it's possible that he would bet again but his aggression on the low end.

      If we don't expect him to do that, and since there are many possible draws I'd actually raise small, maybe even a minraise and then ship turn (if called).
    • Imimba1
      Imimba1
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.12.2011 Posts: 2,897
      Originally posted by BogdanPS
      Hi Imimba,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: Do you expect villain to bet the turn if we call (without a hand)? How about him continuing after he checks the turn?

      He seems fishy so it's possible that he would bet again but his aggression on the low end.

      If we don't expect him to do that, and since there are many possible draws I'd actually raise small, maybe even a minraise and then ship turn (if called).
      THe problem with minraising, that he gets correct odds to call, doesnt he?
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by Imimba1

      THe problem with minraising, that he gets correct odds to call, doesnt he?
      Yet he won't be able to fold the turn if he misses (which will happen often).

      We block one spade so he has 8 outs for OESD or 8 for FD, that's 16%

      A min raise gives him 19%.

      So only combo draws really get the odds.

      Plus you may induce light calls or spews.