[NL2-NL10] NL 10 AJs

    • WillyD
      WillyD
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.11.2011 Posts: 242
      Hi,

      Vilain had some 40-20-0 stats over something like 50 hands, so not really relevant. He also had 33 WTSD if it can help analyzing the hand. I thought he was a fish, and usually fish do this kind of move with huge hands so I didn't think I had enough equity to call. I pretty much put him on a straight or a set.

      ***** Hand History for Game 12615874524 *****
      $10 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Thursday, January 31, 23:38:23 EST 2013
      Table Asmara (Real Money)
      Seat 2 is the button
      Total number of players : 6/6
      Seat 5: PUniSHerSeal ( $10 USD )
      Seat 3: PYT88 ( $11.65 USD )
      Seat 1: TylerTheMofo ( $13.88 USD )
      Seat 4: ben-et-melo ( $6.01 USD )
      Seat 6: red medusa ( $10.97 USD )
      Seat 2: scricu ( $10.25 USD )
      PYT88 posts small blind [$0.05 USD].
      PUniSHerSeal posts big blind [$0.10 USD].
      ** Dealing down cards **
      Dealt to TylerTheMofo [ Ah Jh ]
      red medusa folds
      TylerTheMofo raises [$0.30 USD]
      scricu folds
      PYT88 calls [$0.25 USD]
      PUniSHerSeal folds
      ** Dealing Flop ** [ Qh, 6c, Th ]
      PYT88 checks
      TylerTheMofo bets [$0.50 USD]
      PYT88 calls [$0.50 USD]
      ** Dealing Turn ** [ 9c ]
      PYT88 checks
      TylerTheMofo bets [$1.08 USD]
      PYT88 is all-In [$10.85 USD]
      TylerTheMofo will be using his time bank for this hand.
      Currently you do not have any time left in your Time Bank and your hand has been folded.
      TylerTheMofo folds
      PYT88 does not show cards.
      PYT88 wins $13.44 USD
  • 5 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Please convert the Hand history in future so that it is easier to read

      Party Poker $10 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 2085674
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      Hero (CO): $13.88
      BTN: $10.25
      SB: $11.65
      BB: $10.00
      UTG: $10.97

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is CO with A:heart: J:heart:
      1 fold, Hero raises to $0.30, 1 fold, SB calls $0.25, 1 fold

      Flop: ($0.70) Q:heart: 6:club: T:heart: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.50, SB calls $0.50

      Turn: ($1.70) 9:club: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $1.08, SB raises to $10.85 all in, Hero folds

      Final Pot: $3.86
      SB wins $3.67
      (Rake: $0.19)
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      This is pretty much a question of pot odds vs pot equity. I agree that he has a strong hand very often.

      Pot odds: 9.77/23.30 = 41.9%
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 27.78% 27.53% 0.25% AhJh
      MP3 72.22% 71.97% 0.25% TT, 66, KJs, J8s, T9s, 87s, KJo

      So yeah, it's a clear fold, even if we add a few worse combo draws for him, as well as top pair type of hands, it's still pretty much a fold.
    • acetbfish
      acetbfish
      Bronze
      Joined: 11.03.2011 Posts: 804
      Better use a converter (like this: http://www.flopturnriver.com/converter2/converter.php) so that the hands can be more readable
      .

      Here is a nice format:

      Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (5 handed) - Party-Poker Converter Tool from http://www.flopturnriver.com

      BB ($10)
      SB ($11.65)
      Hero (MP) ($13.88)
      UTG ($10.97)
      Button ($10.25)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with A, J
      1 fold, Hero bets $0.30, 1 fold, SB calls $0.25, 1 fold

      Flop: ($0.70) Q, 6, 10 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.50, SB calls $0.50

      Turn: ($1.70) 9 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $1.08, SB raises to $10.85 (All-In), Hero folds

      Total pot: $3.86

      Results below:

      SB didn't show


      On the hand now, you need about 40% equity to make the call profitable here, which I don't think you have. IMO, if you assign him a proper range here you can see that you have a little over 30% equity. So, folding here is fine.
    • acetbfish
      acetbfish
      Bronze
      Joined: 11.03.2011 Posts: 804
      Hey mbml, isn't putting 78s in his range a bit loose here? I think that the only 78s which he can have is 78 of clubs.
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Yea it could be too loose . The worse the player, the likelier he is to call with 78. But i think the decision is so clearcut that it doesnt matter too much

      Btw it really sucks that we got jammed here. But betting turn is always going to be superior to checking. We can call so many smaller raises.