[NL20-NL50] Should I just x/f turn?

    • maheepsangari
      Joined: 08.06.2010 Posts: 2,163
      Prima, $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BB: $20.31 (101.5 bb)
      UTG: $24.05 (120.3 bb)
      MP: $21.35 (106.8 bb)
      CO: $14.43 (72.1 bb)
      BTN: $69.05 (345.2 bb)
      Hero (SB): $21.52 (107.6 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with J J
      2 folds, CO calls $0.20, BTN raises to $0.90, Hero calls $0.80, BB calls $0.70, CO calls $0.70

      Flop: ($3.60) 2 6 9 (4 players)
      Hero bets $2.40, BB calls $2.40, CO calls $2.40, BTN folds

      What do you think of the donkbet here? I did so cause in this multiway board people could check behind.

      Turn: ($10.80) 5 (3 players)
      Hero bets $5.40, BB raises to $17.01, 2 folds

      Should I even bet turn? 78 got there, sets are in there range. I hardly beat much.
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Preflop: I think flatting is fine. JJ is kind of vulnerable postflop, but at the same time I rather flat and hope that the fish makes some sort of huge mistake in the hand later on. 3betting also isn't exactly the best play, if you don't have the right dynamics to 3bet/5bet JJ.

      Flop: I usually don't lead here, but I think that with the fish in the pot, I don't mind. I am putting the fish on a wide range of 9X/flush draws/straight draws/midpairs, and the reg can have a similar range.

      Turn: I think wth the fish still in the hand, I rather just continue betting for value. JJ is the "nut overpair" here since I think BB will def squeeze QQ+ preflop. He probably raises the turn with most sets, and will continue calling flush draws again on the Turn.

      I think we can play fairly well by betting the Turn. The reg will probably fold his 9X, and call some flush draws, while raising sets. The fish will call with a ton of worse hands.