[NL20-NL50] NL50 99 4bet SBbb

    • double2
      double2
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP: $73.82 (147.6 bb)
      CO: $76.83 (153.7 bb)
      BTN: $29.18 (58.4 bb)
      Hero (SB): $61.20 (122.4 bb)
      BB: $42.55 (85.1 bb)
      UTG: $17.44 (34.9 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with 9 9
      4 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, BB raises to $4.50, Hero raises to $10.50, BB folds

      Results:
      $9 pot
      Hero mucked 9 9 and won $9 ($4.50 net)


      19k hands
      21/15/5.7%
      3bet vs open SB 15%
      fold to 4bet 51%
      5bet range 2.2%
      cbet flop in 3bet pot 96%
      cbet turn in 3bet pot 35%
      WTSD 22%
      WWSF 42%

      During the session I folded a few times in this spot to the 3bet

      Do I have an alternative with this hand? I don't feel comfortable calling this and play oop. Dunno if 4bet/call is too spewy vs this guy but folding is weak.
  • 5 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi

      What was ur plan? 4bet broke or 4bet fold?

      Dont like either options with no info. Wr know he is probably a fish frm his stacksize. Most fishes are pasdive. So ur play to 4b is probably overlplaying ur hand.
    • double2
      double2
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      Originally posted by mbml
      Hi

      What was ur plan? 4bet broke or 4bet fold?

      Dont like either options with no info. Wr know he is probably a fish frm his stacksize. Most fishes are pasdive. So ur play to 4b is probably overlplaying ur hand.
      He 3bets in this spot 15%

      The plan was to 4bet/call shove.

      So call 3bet oop?
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hmm,

      I'm not sure why I only see the stats now, did you edit that in or was that always there?

      He has a high 3bet vs SB of 15%, and assuming he does jam a wide and merged range, with some air, then 4bet/call 99 is probably fine. But if his 3bet range is more polarized then calling the 3bet OOP with 99 is probably better.

      If you have positional stats on his fold to 4bet in BB, that would be great.

      Thanks.
    • double2
      double2
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      Originally posted by mbml
      Hmm,

      I'm not sure why I only see the stats now, did you edit that in or was that always there?

      He has a high 3bet vs SB of 15%, and assuming he does jam a wide and merged range, with some air, then 4bet/call 99 is probably fine. But if his 3bet range is more polarized then calling the 3bet OOP with 99 is probably better.

      If you have positional stats on his fold to 4bet in BB, that would be great.

      Thanks.
      I miss clicked when posting the hand and added the stats like 30 seconds later :)

      I added now fold to 4bet by position to my pop up, in this case he 53% in 30 occasions.
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Ok. This is going to be a rough calculation.

      He has a 15% 3b range, and he stacks off 47% of the time (assuming he never calls 4bets). That's ~7% range. I gave him 7% of hands here.

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 47.77% 47.00% 0.77% 99
      MP3 52.23% 51.46% 0.77% 88+, 33-22, AJs+, KQs, AQo+

      Maybe he jams 3 worse pocket pairs, some AJ/KQ and AQ+/99+. I think it's a fairly easy 4bet/call spot, 99 is definitely strong enough to stack off here.