[NL2-NL10] Nl10 Qq

    • TheWinnerTakesItAll
      TheWinnerTakesItAll
      Bronze
      Joined: 28.01.2012 Posts: 1,187
      MP3 stats 38/24 AF:2 WTSD:29 W$SD:50 after 21 hand.

      It is his first 3bet over 21 hands.

      What scares me is his 3bet size, but I don't think I can fold vs not full stacked guy, who looks like a fish.


      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

      Known players:
      CO:
      $10.54
      BU:
      $17.02
      SB:
      $10.53
      BB:
      $11.85
      UTG1:
      $11.59
      UTG2:
      $11.85
      MP1 (Hero):
      $11.91
      MP2:
      $13.64
      MP3:
      $7.60


      Preflop: Hero is MP1 with Q, Q.
      UTG1 calls $0.10, UTG2 calls $0.10, Hero raises to $0.50, MP2 folds, MP3 raises to $1.80, 6 folds, Hero ???
  • 4 replies
    • Dracsharp
      Dracsharp
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2010 Posts: 2,478
      Cold 4bet is usually strong, still he has fishy stack, his stat don't look that fishy it might becomes normal later. Size is rather convincing too.

      We can let this one go he needs to go broke usually with TT+,AQs+,AQo+ to make it +ev.
    • w34z3l
      w34z3l
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,297
      Hey TheWinnerTakesItAll,

      It's highly unlikely he is ever bluffing given the positions at the table, and the fact that this is his first 3bet.

      Folding the hand will be fine. Against a lot of opponents you will be an underdog here. Even if you are a slight favourite, you are going to save yourself a bunch of variance by folding.

      Things to look out for are: did villain just lose a big pot right before this hand? If he's tilted QQ might be in good shape vs his range.
    • MeAmor22
      MeAmor22
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2011 Posts: 4,247
      So folding is the best move here because of varriance?
      In spots like this i used to call and reevaluate on flop.
      ty
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Problem with this spot is that u raised to 5bb and villain 3bets to 18 bb which is really huge.

      If u raised to 3 and he 3bets to 10bb, i think a call would be more reasonable.

      shoving may be overplay and calling isnt ideal whenu put in almost 20% of ur stack preflop. However i think a shove could be good. Based on the limited info provided and the fact that his vpip andpfr seems high, i think its reasonable to assume he could be wide here.

      But its certainly close.