[NL20-NL50] JJ 5 bet

    • mlatasrb
      Joined: 01.04.2012 Posts: 2,722
      iPoker - $0.20 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BB: 37.15 BB
      UTG: 88.3 BB
      MP: 85.8 BB
      CO: 251.15 BB
      BTN: 100 BB
      Hero (SB): 151.15 BB

      Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J:spade: J:diamond:

      fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to 2 BB, Hero raises to 5 BB, fold, BTN raises to 15 BB, Hero raises to 151.15 BB and is all-in, BTN calls 85 BB

      Flop: (201 BB, 2 players) A:heart: 7:diamond: A:diamond:

      Turn: (201 BB, 2 players) 4:heart:

      River: (201 BB, 2 players) A:spade:

      BTN shows K:diamond: K:club: (Full House, Aces full of Kings) (Pre 82%, Flop 92%, Turn 95%)
      Hero shows J:spade: J:diamond: (Full House, Aces full of Jacks) (Pre 18%, Flop 8%, Turn 5%)
      BTN wins 190.95 BB
      Hero wins 0 BB

      46 hands, VP 17, PFR 11

      Preflop missclick, I usually raise 8BB here. Is shove bad against BU unknown? I usually don't give much credit to BU's 4bet, because most of BU players steal 50% from BU. If I have stats from player, I would shove JJ if villian steals around 40-50% and 4bets often from BU, but what to do if villian is unknown?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Mlatasrb,

      Preflop: I think that our initial 3-bet should be larger but since it was a misclick it creates a different scenario.

      It's possible that villain is bluffing given our small amount but we are risking 95 BB in this pot when shoving and we need quite a bit of FE because the pot is a lot smaller than you'd usually have. So I think that we have a very high variance (short term) spot where it's going to be hard to be more than break even.

      Have you calculated the amount of FE you need here assuming a "standard" calling range?