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[NL2-NL10] bu JT

    • Imimba1
      Imimba1
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.12.2011 Posts: 2,897
      Poker Stars $5.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2088865
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      Hero (BTN): $6.02 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 16, 3B: 4, AF: 2,0, Hands: 96801
      SB: $15.65 - VPIP: 28, PFR: 22, 3B: 7, AF: 1,0, Hands: 74
      BB: $1.87 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 7, 3B: 4, AF: 2,5, Hands: 55
      UTG: $3.18 - VPIP: 34, PFR: 15, 3B: 11, AF: 3,0, Hands: 74
      MP: $8.38 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 11, 3B: 0, AF: 0,2, Hands: 61
      CO: $4.95 - VPIP: 35, PFR: 18, 3B: 4, AF: 1,9, Hands: 378

      Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is BTN with J :heart: T :heart:
      UTG calls $0.05, 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.20, 1 fold, BB calls $0.15, 1 fold

      Flop: ($0.47) T :club: 8 :diamond: 6 :diamond: (2 players)
      BB bets $0.32, Hero?
      First time I see him donking.
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 31.82% 25.86% 5.96% JhTh
      MP3 68.18% 62.22% 5.96% JJ-66, AT-JT (anything except :diamond: :diamond: ones)

      :diamond: :diamond: hands most likely ch.r, or only I think it's the "standard" way?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Imimba,

      preflop: looks fine

      Edit ---

      Just noticed villains stack size. So here we should either look at shoving or folding.

      It's possible for him to donk all his value hands and sometimes donk/fold.

      Assuming 0 FE we need about 42% equity. I think that versus a range of: JJ-88,66,ATs,KTs,QTs,J9s+,T9s,98s,AdQd,KdQd,AdJd,KdJd,QdJd,Ad9d,Kd9d,Qd9d,Ad7d,Ad5d,Ad4d,Ad3d,Ad2d,ATo,KTo which is still a bit optimistic we only have 35% equity.

      So we need him to bet/fold random hands like 55 or stack off with them to show a profit. And I doubt that someone like him does that so I think that folding is actually better.