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[NL2-NL10] co AJ

    • Imimba1
      Joined: 12.12.2011 Posts: 2,897
      Poker Stars $5.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2088883
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      Hero (CO): $5.18 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 16, 3B: 4, AF: 2,0, Hands: 96801
      BTN: $15.27 - VPIP: 28, PFR: 22, 3B: 7, AF: 1,0, Hands: 74
      SB: $1.96 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 7, 3B: 4, AF: 2,5, Hands: 55
      BB: $3.23 - VPIP: 34, PFR: 15, 3B: 11, AF: 3,0, Hands: 74
      UTG: $9.47 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 11, 3B: 0, AF: 0,2, Hands: 61
      MP: $5.02 - VPIP: 35, PFR: 18, 3B: 4, AF: 1,9, Hands: 378

      Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is CO with J :diamond: A :spade:
      UTG raises to $0.15, 1 fold, Hero raises to $0.48

      I'm only using the blocker effect. I think it's better than going in a multiwaypot with AJ. TAGS open 22-AA from EP anyways, I expect them to fold the majority of it, or call and fold on A/Kh flops postflop, so no worries.
  • 4 replies
    • kymupa
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364

      I don't mind 3betting here.
      We can't really call here since we don't stand good against UTG opening range so 3betting with blockers is fine.

    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi imimba,

      Preflop: I agree that calling is not a great option versus a possibly tighter UTG opener. And since we have position we can expect more FE both preflop/postflop so I don't mind your 3-bet (and blockers help).
    • dienaszaglis
      Joined: 12.06.2008 Posts: 999

      General question: how tight UTG should be for us not to 3-bet?

      FE = pot/risk+pot = 0.7/1.18 ~ 60%
      So, for us to 3-bet profitably, villain must fold at least 60% of the time.

      TAG/rock villain would almost never fold to 3-bet: JJ+, AQs+, AQo+ = 56 combos. 40% = 56 combos, 60% = 86 combos he must fold.

      Total range is 142 combos: 22+, ATs+, KQs, AJo+, KQo, PFR: 11

      So, if villain opens from UTG less than top 11% of his range, our 3-bet bluff won`t be profitable.

      Did I get any of this right?
    • kymupa
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      We need him to fold 68% of the time - we invest $0.48 to win the pot of $0.22.

      Basically, it quite much depends how much the opponent folds against 3bet. There are players that open 10% and just continue with QQ+, AK, and there are players that would continue with around 70% of their range.

      I think that basically that if he raises around 11% we can successfully 3bet.