[NL2-NL10] 4 17 87

    • Dracsharp
      Dracsharp
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2010 Posts: 2,478
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($9.54)
      BB ($10.83)
      Hero ($10)

      Dealt to Hero 8:club: 7:club:

      Hero raises to $0.30, fold, BB calls $0.20

      FLOP ($0.65) 7:spade: K:spade: A:spade:

      BB bets $0.20, Hero calls $0.20

      TURN ($1.05) 7:spade: K:spade: A:spade: T:diamond:

      BB checks, Hero checks

      RIVER ($1.05) 7:spade: K:spade: A:spade: T:diamond: T:heart:

      BB bets $0.30, Hero calls $0.30

      BB shows 5:heart: 5:club:
      (Pre 51%, Flop 10.2%, Turn 4.5%)

      Hero shows 8:club: 7:club:
      (Pre 49%, Flop 89.8%, Turn 95.5%)

      Hero wins $1.54

  • 3 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Dracsharp,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: Despite the positive result I would actually fold the flop.

      There are too many hands that either have us crushed right now or have good equity versus us. Even a naked spade has 35%+ versus our hand.

      So I would fold right there.

      Why are we calling? Did you have some read on villain? Kx, Ax, spades are such a big part of his potential range there that it's very hard for us to bluffcatch profitably.
    • Dracsharp
      Dracsharp
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2010 Posts: 2,478
      I did expect the spade and it gives eq, we don't need much.

      Should we fear that he follows it up with strong bets ?

      I wouldn't expect it after his mindonk.
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by Dracsharp
      I did expect the spade and it gives eq, we don't need much.

      Should we fear that he follows it up with strong bets ?

      I wouldn't expect it after his mindonk.
      It is a 2x donk, so he could follow it with similar bets and by the end of it we invested another 10 bbs on a super marginal hand.

      We still have 2 streets to play and there are many bad cards and spade shows up 40% of the time. Plus he can already have us crushed with Ax, Kx that would bet this way (of course some hands would bet bigger but he may easily have A2).