[NL20-NL50] HU nl50 draw

    • muumionu
      muumionu
      Bronze
      Joined: 25.07.2012 Posts: 816
      Villain raises 31% cbets, should I bluff this river? I'd expect him to bet sets and check 2pair maybe.

      Poker Stars $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 2 players - View hand 2089125
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      Hero (BTN/SB): $57.19
      BB: $68.69

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BTN/SB with 4 :diamond: 6 :diamond:
      Hero raises to $1, BB calls $0.50

      Flop: ($2.00) 5 :heart: 3 :diamond: 8 :heart: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.50, BB raises to $5, Hero calls $3.50

      Turn: ($12.00) K :diamond: (2 players)
      BB bets $10, Hero calls $10

      River: ($32.00) T :heart: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $24.50, BB folds
  • 2 replies
    • cutegoldfish
      cutegoldfish
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.11.2009 Posts: 4,335
      About 8-10% is value and the other 20% is usually some draws and crap. You can consider bet/raising the flop or raising the turn as a semi bluff. On the river I think it's fine to bluff because there are many hands in his range that could have check raised bet the turn scare card and decided to give up for example A5 A8 77 A9 QJ which I estimate is about half of his range. What's his pre flop call steal?
    • muumionu
      muumionu
      Bronze
      Joined: 25.07.2012 Posts: 816
      Thanks, his stealing % is 71.