[NL20-NL50] SH NL50 zoom AQ 3bet pot OOP

    • dooleslovs
      Joined: 17.02.2011 Posts: 485
      PokerStars - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: $51.01
      Hero (SB): $165.00
      BB: $50.00
      UTG: $56.37
      MP: $72.13
      CO: $97.68

      Hero posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.75) Hero has Q:diamond: A:spade:

      fold, MP raises to $1.50, fold, BTN calls $1.50, Hero raises to $6.50, fold, MP calls $5.00, fold

      Flop: ($15.00, 2 players) J:diamond: 7:heart: Q:club:
      Hero bets $8.00, MP calls $8.00

      Turn: ($31.00, 2 players) 8:heart:
      Hero bets $15.00, MP raises to $46.00, Hero ???

      Vilain looks Agro reg after 104 hands, 29/21 14%3bet fold to 3bet 0/1, BU olso regish who do not like to fold to 3bet 4/10, I think sqzing is reasonable here, becouse I do not want to have only bluff or nuts in my sqzing range, and they are definatly calling with worse. When he shoves I have 30% against range I asigned him :

      Board: J:diamond: 7:heart: Q:club:  8:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    30.20%  28.99%   1.21% { AsQd }
      MP3    69.80%  68.60%   1.21% { AdAh, AdAc, AhAc, QhQs, JhJs, JhJc, JsJc, 8d8s, 8d8c, 8s8c, 7d7s, 7d7c, 7s7c, KTs, T9s, AhKh, AhQh, KhQh, AhJh, KhJh, QhJh, QsJs, AdTd, AhTh, AcTc, QhTh, JhTh }

      did not put KK, becouse sometimes he will 4bet some times slowplay so put only AA. What do you think about the range I put on him, and if it is easonable I have to cry call becouse I need only 25%
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909

      I'm gonna start with the easy part: he prob doesn't c/r KK+ on the turn so you can take that out. However, the range he defends vs your 3bet smashes that board. I would discount quite a few of the combo draws tbh, would only keeo those tgat had good equity ob flop as well so without AT, definitely not AT without a turned flush draw, same with KTs. My final concern is how less likely people are to play back light compared to 100%value hands.

      I think this is a fold on the turn, just too many value hands in his range, we are not folding the top of our range even remotely given all the sets and 2 pair we can have so I suggest a 'weak' looking fold that should be quite standard.