[NL20-NL50] AKo TP on the turn. River?

    • AchillesBG
      AchillesBG
      Silver
      Joined: 06.02.2011 Posts: 4,586
      On Game, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP: $50 (100 bb)
      CO: $75.57 (151.1 bb)
      BTN: $47.75 (95.5 bb)
      SB: $42.75 (85.5 bb)
      Hero (BB): $57.18 (114.4 bb)
      UTG: $119.04 (238.1 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with A:heart: K:club:
      UTG folds, MP raises to $1.50, 3 folds, Hero calls $1

      Flop: ($3.25) 8:spade: T:diamond: 7:heart: (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP checks

      Turn: ($3.25) K:heart: (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP bets $2.50, Hero calls $2.50

      River: ($8.25) Q:club: (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP bets $5.25, Hero folds

      Results: $8.25 pot ($0.41 rake)
      Final Board: 8:spade: T:diamond: 7:heart: K:heart: Q:club:
      MP mucked and won $7.84 ($3.84 net)
      Hero mucked A:heart: K:club: and lost (-$4 net)

      14/12 MP-12, 33% agg. freq., 83% Cbet, 68% fold to 3bet, 18,8% 4bet, 826 hands

      Preflop, i decided to just call vs his MP range.

      On the turn i though it`s best to ch/c and let him bluff and value bet worse.

      On this river, i think folding is fine?

      MP2 80.77% 69.23% 11.54% AKs, AJs, KJs+, AKo, AJo, KQo
      MP3 19.23% 7.69% 11.54% AhKc
  • 3 replies
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,908
      Hi,

      I think pre is fine, I like that you paid attention to your opponent. Flop is a check very likely and I really like your turn check. If he has Kx he is betting it and if he doesn't he will rep it. On the river though what hand in his river range improve to beat you?
    • AchillesBG
      AchillesBG
      Silver
      Joined: 06.02.2011 Posts: 4,586
      KQ/AJ improve on the river. With AQ/QJs he is checking back the river, i don`t think he is turning 22-66 into a bluff. He is betting AK/AJ/KQ and probably KJs ( only 2 combos) that i beat.
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,908
      I'm thinking AJ often cbets, KJo is in his range a few combos and we are basically at the top of our range the way the hand played. We only need to win like 27% or so (on phone can't open calculator) so that means we need him to have just a few hands worse that vbet and this doesn't account for the couple of pure bluffs a semi aggressive reg will have here.