[NL20-NL50] NL50 6max, QQ, light T value

    • Anger86
      Anger86
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.08.2008 Posts: 511
      $50.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
      BB: $58.30 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 17, 3B: 5, AF: 1.4, Hands: 1375
      UTG: $51.60 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 15, 3B: 5, AF: 5.5, Hands: 2015
      MP: $65.55 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 15, 3B: 4, AF: 2.2, Hands: 1050
      CO: $67.25 - VPIP: 52, PFR: 30, 3B: 4, AF: 1.9, Hands: 122
      Hero (BTN): $51.20 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 22, 3B: 11, AF: 4.9, Hands: 152931
      SB: $15.25 - VPIP: 33, PFR: 5, 3B: 0, AF: 2.3, Hands: 66

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BTN with Q :spade: Q :diamond:
      2 folds, CO raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $5, 2 folds, CO calls $3.50

      Flop: ($10.75) 3 :heart: K :heart: 2 :diamond: (2 players)
      CO checks, Hero bets $5.00, CO calls $5

      Turn: ($20.75) 3 :club: (2 players)
      CO checks, Hero bets $10.50, CO calls $10.50

      River: ($41.75) 8 :spade: (2 players)
      CO checks, Hero checks

      Postflop:

      Villain made a FAST CHECK and also FAST CALL on the flop.
      It ussually means that they don't have too strong of a range.

      I'd say mostly PP's below JJ. Some Kx maybe. Never AK or set.


      Board: 2:diamond: K:heart: 3:heart:  3:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    52.22%  52.22%   0.00% { QdQs }
      MP3    47.78%  47.78%   0.00% { JJ-66, K7s+, AhQh, AhJh, QhJh, AhTh, QhTh, Ah9h, Qh9h, Ah8h, Qh8h, Ah7h, Ah6h, Ah5h, Ah4h, Ah3h, Ah2h, KTo+ }


      Fast checks = less Kings, so value bet light.

      River is a check because draws miss and those would fold out.
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,908
      Heyo,

      I agree with your analysis although I do want to say sometimes the river can be a value bet too. The reason is, he doesn't have much Kx anyway so your QQ is just about the same as Kx (you actually block KQ). He will never expect you to bet like less than KQ so his 99 is the same as KJ which he won't fold. Checking back river is the safe way and it's +EV, betting should be considered and decided for it if the opponent is a non-believer with just weaker hands.