[NL2-NL10] Nl10 Zoom Kk

    • elchipriota
      elchipriota
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.06.2012 Posts: 438
      IPoker Network $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players -

      BB: $7.54 - VPIP: 9, PFR: 7, 3B: 3, AF: 2,8, Hands: 364
      UTG: $19.96 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 14, 3B: 6, AF: 11,0, Hands: 226
      MP: $9.90 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 22, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 9
      CO: $4.08 - VPIP: 0, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 3
      BTN: $3.80 - VPIP: 13, PFR: 9, 3B: 11, AF: 0,0, Hands: 23
      Hero (SB): $11.54 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 20, 3B: 9, AF: 3,2, Hands: 5500

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is SB with K :club: K :spade:
      1 fold, MP raises to $0.27, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1.20, BB raises to $7.54, 1 fold, Hero calls $6.34

      Flop: ($15.35) J :spade: 8 :diamond: 8 :club: (2 players)

      Turn: ($15.35) 9 :diamond: (2 players)

      River: ($15.35) 3 :club: (2 players)


      Can I justify a fold against this regs stats?

      His total 3bet is 3% which should be enough (even though the sample is small), if he is playing this way only with QQ+ is that -EV to call because of rake?

      Let me know if you need any more specific stats and I will post them below.

      Nicolas
  • 3 replies
    • kymupa
      kymupa
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      Hello,

      We should rather look at 4bet in this spot.
      He looks pretty tight but I wouldn't really fold my KK here. We just have 360 hands on him and I doubt that stats would be plausible, so I would just call him here and expect to see something like QQ+, AK.

      Best,
      Plamen
    • elchipriota
      elchipriota
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.06.2012 Posts: 438
      Thanks Plamen,


      What kind or % on 4bet should I be looking for to justify a fold? And what sample size do I need to be fairly accurate?

      Opponent had AA on the hand above, happened to me twice against him.


      Thank you,

      Nick
    • kymupa
      kymupa
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      Hey,

      The most appropriate stats here will be cold 4bet (I think it is named like this in HEM) but we should be aware that even if we have 10k hands it might not be accurate enough.
      Overall, I would take a look at his 4bet range and I think that most of the people would have something close to this stat (probably they won't bluff at all) but I think that if this guy stacks off with QQ+, AK preflop, he is likely to stack off in this situation as well.