[NL20-NL50] Q9o against aggro fish

    • mlatasrb
      Joined: 01.04.2012 Posts: 2,722
      iPoker - $0.20 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BB: 64.1 BB
      UTG: 99.95 BB
      MP: 42.7 BB
      CO: 46.05 BB
      BTN: 199.85 BB
      Hero (SB): 150.8 BB

      Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q:heart: 9:diamond:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, BB calls 2 BB

      Flop: (6 BB, 2 players) 4:club: Q:club: 3:heart:
      Hero bets 4 BB, BB calls 4 BB

      Turn: (14 BB, 2 players) J:spade:
      Hero checks, BB bets 10.5 BB, Hero calls 10.5 BB

      River: (35 BB, 2 players) 3:diamond:
      Hero checks, BB bets 46.6 BB, Hero calls 46.6 BB

      BB shows 7:diamond: 5:spade: (One Pair, Threes) (Pre 36%, Flop 20%, Turn 9%)
      Hero shows Q:heart: 9:diamond: (Two Pair, Queens and Threes) (Pre 64%, Flop 80%, Turn 91%)
      Hero wins 121.8 BB

      1 hand on him

      Is check/call turn ok to get value from floating? I can't have value from bet bet bet, or maybe I could bet bet check/call if flush misses.
      River with overbet hi represents only air (floating) imo or rarely nuts. Like one of previous similar scenarios when I called river overbet villian floated and hitted straight with gutshot. Against regg, I would not play this way, but I don't see shortstackers folding at all, so I can't fold this.
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      River is basically about whether villain is capable of bluffing or not. It's true that he's really polarized. I don't see him betting that many 3X on the turn, he may just choose to check it down instead. He also has very few combos of QJ/3X/33/44/Q4 as compared to busted straight and flush draws like clubs, A2/A5/56/57/67.

      It could be a fold or call, but it really depends on opponent type. If he's an aggro fish then this is an easy call.