[NL2-NL10] nl10Sh AA river (fail)

    • RasTweet
      RasTweet
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.12.2009 Posts: 4,553
      Hey guys!

      Vill: 18/15/5.0 after 97 hands.

      River was kinda ugly. I could b/f it but I think that Ax is probably going to call me but there is only 1 A left in the deck. Jx is probably not going to call me but might bet it.

      Now the problem is the flush. I thought because he looked kinda aggressive that he's going to raise the FD often and since he just called me twice I didn't think he's got the FD very often.

      Meh maybe I'm just a fish :D


      Party, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (SB): $12.46 (124.6 bb)
      UTG: $14.47 (144.7 bb)
      MP: $19.80 (198 bb)
      BB: $10.73 (107.3 bb)
      CO: $28.16 (281.6 bb)
      BTN: $10.05 (100.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with A A
      4 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, BB calls $0.20

      Flop: ($0.60) 5 A J (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.40, BB calls $0.40

      Turn: ($1.40) 2 (2 players)
      Hero bets $1, BB calls $1

      River: ($3.40) 3 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BB bets $2.42, Hero calls $2.42

      Results:
      $8.24 pot ($0.41 rake)
      Final Board: 5 A J 2 3
      Hero showed A A and won $7.83 ($3.71 net)
      BB showed K J and lost (-$4.12 net)


      Thanks!

      RasTweet
  • 5 replies
    • kymupa
      kymupa
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      Hello,

      Preflop is fine of course.

      Flop and turn look good.

      I prefer betting the river here.
      It's an ugly spot but if we check here he is likely to check back with hands with decent showdown value, but he's going to call a bet with those - hands like Ax.
      So by checking here we are most likely facing a bet from his top range against which we don't really stand great.

      Best,
      Plamen
    • RasTweet
      RasTweet
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.12.2009 Posts: 4,553
      Hey Plamen

      There aren't to many Ax combos left. There are more Jx hands. Now the Ax hands are going to call, the Jx probably not but they might be stupid and bet them. So I thought there was more money in check calling.

      Plus if he has some weird Ax in there he's betting them as well.

      Regards

      RasTweet
    • kymupa
      kymupa
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      Well, I really doubt he bets Jx at all, and he's probably going to check back AT as well.
      We can't really expect him to bet those, but it is more likely to call with those here.
    • dienaszaglis
      dienaszaglis
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.06.2008 Posts: 999
      Hi Plamen!


      What would be your sizing on the river? 1.4 - 1.6?
    • kymupa
      kymupa
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      Yeah, something like this. Maybe a little bit more - 1 or 2bb, but this is fine as well since the range that we are looking a call from is relatively weak and we want to give them better odds to call and as we know, people on these stakes are more inclined to call against a smaller bets.