[NL2-NL10] SH5 - UTG with KK

    • ThatGuyMatt
      ThatGuyMatt
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.12.2010 Posts: 3,758
      Villain unknown, Should have CBet around $0.40~

      I thought a while about folding, but would TT-QQ also make this move?

      Is it a -EV Call in these spots?

      Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $5.52 (110.4 bb)
      SB: $7.02 (140.4 bb)
      BB: $5.98 (119.6 bb)
      Hero (UTG): $6 (120 bb)
      MP: $1.28 (25.6 bb)
      CO: $4.87 (97.4 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with K K
      Hero raises to $0.15, MP folds, CO calls $0.15, BTN calls $0.15, 2 folds

      Flop: ($0.52) 6 7 2 (3 players)
      Hero bets $0.35, CO folds, BTN raises to $5.37, Hero calls $5.02

      Turn: ($11.26) Q (2 players)
      River: ($11.26) 7 (2 players)

      Results:
      $11.26 pot ($0.47 rake)
      Final Board: 6 7 2 Q 7
      BTN showed 6 7 and won $10.79 ($5.27 net)
      Hero showed K K and lost (-$5.52 net)
      CO mucked and lost (-$0.15 net)
  • 3 replies
    • kymupa
      kymupa
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      Hello,

      Preflop is fine.

      On the flop I think $0.4 will be better.
      When BU shoves i would most likely fold here without information.
      We need to be good 45% of the time to be break even and overall I doubt we will.

      Best,
      Plamen
    • ThatGuyMatt
      ThatGuyMatt
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.12.2010 Posts: 3,758
      Originally posted by kymupa
      We need to be good 45% of the time to be break even and overall I doubt we will.
      Could you give me a quick explanation of how to roughly work this out?
    • kymupa
      kymupa
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      Well basically, there is no exact thing we can do here without information at all.

      I just make my assumptions according to my personal experience - usually when I face this huge overbet on a dry board we are beat, since people are rarely bluffing in these spots.
      If there was a flush draw I would more likely to call, since there is quite a good probability that he shoves FD like this, but then I wouldn't say that folding will be bad on 762tt as well.

      Overall, we don't need to get into those marginal spots, where we can easily be way behind.