[NL20-NL50] NL50sh - Raise dry flop w/ topset?

    • Farmarchist
      Farmarchist
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      Hello

      OR: 17/16 nit over pretty big sample with 88 foldto3b
      sb : solid, 0 3bet over 30 hands

      His raise looked pretty strong, also his big CB. Should we raise and assume he has KK+ there?

      Turn is horrible! He prolly had KK :(

      Poker Stars $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 2090642
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      SB: $47.87
      BB: $50.49
      UTG: $49.25
      CO: $68.02
      Hero (BTN): $50.00

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BTN with Q :heart: Q :diamond:
      UTG raises to $1.50, 1 fold, Hero calls $1.50, SB raises to $5, 2 folds, Hero calls $3.50

      Flop: ($12.00) 3 :diamond: Q :club: 9 :heart: (2 players)
      SB bets $8.50, Hero calls $8.50

      Turn: ($29.00) A :diamond: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero checks

      River: ($29.00) 3 :club: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $12, SB folds
  • 4 replies
    • duder1n0
      duder1n0
      Black
      Joined: 07.07.2009 Posts: 5,334
      I agree with the flat vs nit UTG, but 5-handed I'd just backraise shove vs unknown squeezer.

      As played I'd never ever raise flop...
      On the turn I'd make a small float ~10$.
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Farmarchist,

      Preflop: I don't mind calling there given UTGs tighter range and big fold to 3-bet.

      Once SB raises though we can just 4-bet or shove and we will often get people to stack off light because we don't really get a ton of credit. Now you do say he is solid but how do we know that given that we only have 30 hands on him?

      As played the flop is really dry and there's a chance he barrels the turn if we call so I wouldn't raise either but I'd bet 1/2 on turn.
    • Farmarchist
      Farmarchist
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      Yeah I made my assumptions too quickly! My thoughts were flawed because of the fact that I call a hand as strong as QQ and thus he could too :P But it doesn't make sense at all. Probably he sqz JJ+ and AK for sure so yes this was another mistake.
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by Farmarchist
      Yeah I made my assumptions too quickly! My thoughts were flawed because of the fact that I call a hand as strong as QQ and thus he could too :P But it doesn't make sense at all. Probably he sqz JJ+ and AK for sure so yes this was another mistake.
      While he could too he has a chance to squeeze so he can collect more dead money. I would be surprised if he called AK preflop (and I think it would be a mistake).