[NL20-NL50] NL50sh - is this a good spot to bluff?

    • Farmarchist
      Farmarchist
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      Hello guys,

      Should we turn or hand into bluff OTR? I was tanking a bit before I checked because I wanted to keep that option open...

      So what do u guys think? In the end I didn't do it cause his range is prob stronger than Jx which bets for thin value (look at his stats -> pbb no thin value). Can we bluff out QK?

      Poker Stars $50.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2090681
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BTN: $53.45 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 15, 3B: 3, AF: 3.8, Hands: 884
      SB: $113.92 - VPIP: 32, PFR: 18, 3B: 0, AF: 1.7, Hands: 119
      Hero (BB): $53.05 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 15, 3B: 6, AF: 3.7, Hands: 603250
      UTG: $53.60 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 16, 3B: 9, AF: 3.2, Hands: 192
      MP: $38.60 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 4, 3B: 3, AF: 1.8, Hands: 95
      CO: $50.00 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 13

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BB with 9 :diamond: J :club:
      3 folds, BTN raises to $1.50, SB calls $1.25, Hero calls $1

      Flop: ($4.50) 5 :club: J :diamond: T :heart: (3 players)
      SB checks, Hero checks, BTN bets $3.25, SB folds, Hero calls $3.25

      Turn: ($11.00) K :heart: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN checks

      River: ($11.00) 7 :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $7.75, Hero folds
  • 4 replies
    • duder1n0
      duder1n0
      Gold
      Joined: 07.07.2009 Posts: 5,317
      Why call preflop? Squeeze or fold, but as SB is a fish, rather fold.

      Flop is the situation we dont want to be in... We have a weak TP oop against a tight reg, who is cbetting 3way, including a fish, so I wouldnt be very happy ch/calling here.

      On the river I dont think he has twopairs/sets, he wouldnt check them behind on such a drawy turn, so the top of his range is probably AK/KQ/AA, or sometimes he could slowplay the nuts with AQ. So a chRaise could work out I guess.

      You have a decent sample on Villain, but you didnt write stats (cbet/barrel/AFq/wtsd etc.), nor reads, which would be useful deciding in such marginal spots (ch/calling flop, chRaise bluffing river)...
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      Preflop should be a fold or squeeze. I squeeze if i expect both to fold often or just sb to call and if he folds often to cbets then we can judt cbet most flops and take it down.

      Our hand here is too weak to call vs 3bb open. Maybe JTo could be a call.

      As played i think he doesnt take this line too often as a bluff and we are close to the bottom of our range.i would tank river before checking and consider bluff raising or folding. We can rep kt kj and aq sometimes.
    • Farmarchist
      Farmarchist
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.12.2010 Posts: 14,640
      Okay :P Shouldn't have watched lnternet all-starsvid :P He defends sooo loose. Do we call here vs minraise?

      And yes that was my thinking OTR but in the end I couldn't pull the trigger. Would you have done it?
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Vs a minraise it should be fine. Pot odds are really good and we have a fish in the hand. We also expect the reg to play very honestly so we can stab at many turn cards.

      River c/r is really dependent on the opponent. If he is smart enough, he should realize that we always squeeze AQ/KJ/KT preflop so that may allow him to bluff catch us. But if he's some nit with a nit mentality then it may be fine.