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[NL2-NL10] NL5 - UTG with 44

    • ThatGuyMatt
      Joined: 03.12.2010 Posts: 3,765
      Villains unknown, I'd usually fold vs one opponent but with the two and no action behind I am more likely to get paid if I hit, or its a -EV call in the long run?

      Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $5.72 (114.4 bb)
      SB: $5 (100 bb)
      BB: $5.17 (103.4 bb)
      Hero (UTG): $5 (100 bb)
      MP: $20.86 (417.2 bb)
      CO: $5.59 (111.8 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with 4 4
      Hero raises to $0.15, MP raises to $0.40, CO calls $0.40, 3 folds, Hero calls $0.25

      Flop: ($1.27) 4 8 2 (3 players)
      Hero checks, MP bets $0.80, CO calls $0.80, Hero raises to $2.30, MP raises to $5.10, CO folds, Hero calls $2.30 and is all-in

      Turn: ($11.27) 3 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
      River: ($11.27) A (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      $11.27 pot ($0.47 rake)
      Final Board: 4 8 2 3 A
      Hero showed 4 4 and won $10.80 ($5.80 net)
      MP showed K K and lost (-$5 net)
      CO mucked and lost (-$1.20 net)
  • 3 replies
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Matt,

      Preflop: Considering we have two opponents we do get better odds to set mine. The only problem is that we have a smaller pair which will result in more set over set scenarios where we lose.

      The way we can look at this is that we invest another 5 BBs to potentially win a big pot. Even if we were to lose 7 out of 8 times it would be 5 * 7 = 35 BB. So if we make at least that much when we hit our set (on average) we will be in good shape. And with two people the chance to make that much grows.

      Postflop: I like our raise/call on the flop and we got exactly what we were after and confirmed that our call is most likely +EV in the long run.
    • dienaszaglis
      Joined: 12.06.2008 Posts: 999

      Should we look to fold 22/33 pre?
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by dienaszaglis

      Should we look to fold 22/33 pre?
      If we call the lower pairs in spots like this we should call all of them. There's no real difference between 22 and 44 here.