[NL2-NL10] nl10 JJ

    • xero100
      xero100
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.08.2009 Posts: 1,355
      Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: $12.28 (122.8 bb)
      Hero (BB): $11.50 (115 bb)
      MP: $3.43 (34.3 bb)
      CO: $9.21 (92.1 bb)
      BTN: $21 (210 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with J J
      MP folds, CO raises to $0.35, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.25

      Flop: ($0.75) 8 2 2 (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50

      Turn: ($1.75) K (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO checks

      River: ($1.75) J (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.50, CO raises to $2.50, Hero raises to $5, CO raises to $8.36 and is all-in, Hero calls $3.36

      27/20/2.1 1.2K hands
      CO open 30% fold to 3b in co 87(7) 4 bet range 6.8%(28)
      so easy call pre
      cbet flop turn 73 48
      if he bets turn I would call as he would barrel K allot, I bet small on river to get called by lower PP and induce some raise. 99 TT could call larger bet
  • 5 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      3bet preflop. as played i would just pot the river hoping he has a lower pockerpair or 8x.

      thanks
    • xero100
      xero100
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.08.2009 Posts: 1,355
      why 3b is better its seems hell fold allot to 3b and if he 4b I would just fold as 1.2K is small sample for 4b
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      The stats seem weird.

      You gave him a 4bet range of 6.8%, yet his fold to 3b is 80%. Doesn't tally. I think his 4bet % should be at least 15-20% (4bet %, not 4bet range%) and that's assuming he has a 0% calling range which I really doubt.

      Anyway we should be 3betting this guy with a lot of bluffs. And since he seems aggro with his 4betting range, I think we have an easy 5bet jam with JJ.

      1.2K sample is enough to have a rough idea on how aggro he is. And if we put 2 and 2 together, based on his high VPIP/PFR, I can safely assume that he's a LAG. Thus, he is going to be 4bet bluffing you a good amount in my opinion.

      You said he has 2.1. Is that the AF or 3bet %?
    • xero100
      xero100
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.08.2009 Posts: 1,355
      2.1 AF, he had 78%(7) fold to 3b when hes in CO
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      If he really folds that often over such a large sample, then I would always slowplay my monsters, assuming he never adjusts. But if he 4bets a 6%+ range, I think I would definitely be 3bet bluffing a lot (at least 10-15% of preflop hands), and just 3betting JJ+/AK (3% of starting hands) for value and 5bet shoving these hands.

      We can't possibly be completely imbalanced and only have air hands right?