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[NL2-NL10] nl4sh AJ OOP tp/tk drawy flop

    • EnterG
      Joined: 26.01.2010 Posts: 632
      Boss, $0.02/$0.04 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BB: $1.29 (32.3 bb)
      Hero (MP2): $13.13 (328.3 bb)
      BTN: $2.83 (70.8 bb)
      CO: $5.37 (134.3 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A J
      Hero raises to $0.12, BTN calls $0.12, 2 folds

      Flop: ($0.30) T 9 J (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.22, BTN calls $0.22

      Turn: ($0.74) 5 (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.60, BTN raises to $1.20, Hero folds

      $1.94 pot ($0.19 rake)
      Final Board: T 9 J 5
      Hero mucked A J and lost (-$0.94 net)
      BTN mucked and won $1.75 ($0.81 net)

      I am against an unknown opponent (38 hands).Although small sample looked like a fish-passive opponent so far.You can tell so by his stack also.I am not sure if he is a limper.
      vpip/pfr/af : 38/22/1.2.

      Flop : one of the worst ever.I bet flop + turn to protect vs so many possible draws.

      The strange think is that if opponent had a monster (2 pair + )on flop i think he would reraise me on flop to protect.Maybe everything except K :heart: Q :heart: .
      With this miniraise on turn i think a shove on the whatever river would follow.

      Is the fold correct on turn ? Hand played correctly ?

      Thanks !
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi EnterG,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: Given his stack size and how much money already went in we can't just call the turn. It would be either a shove or a fold.

      I think that a passive fishy guy can still slowplay the flop massively but at the same time he may raise JQ/JK on a safe turn. Assuming 0 FE we need to be good roughly one in three times (33%).

      Equity Win Tie
      MP3 29.67% 29.67% 0.00% AcJc
      CO 70.33% 70.33% 0.00% 99, KJs, QTs+, JTs, T9s, KdQd, KhQh, KhQd, KsQd, KsQh

      So you can see that with some slowplays and some weaker hands like QT or KJ we are still not doing great. Thus I think that our fold is correct.