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[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL50 22 set facing river chRaise

    • duder1n0
      Joined: 07.07.2009 Posts: 5,335
      Prima, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players

      SB: $34.44 (68.9 bb)
      BB: $56.72 (113.4 bb)
      MP: $75.75 (151.5 bb)
      CO: $14.58 (29.2 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $144.54 (289.1 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with 2 2
      MP raises to $1.50, CO folds, Hero calls $1.50, 2 folds

      Flop: ($3.75) K 2 3 (2 players)
      MP bets $2, Hero calls $2

      Turn: ($7.75) A (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero bets $5.50, MP calls $5.50

      River: ($18.75) 5 (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero bets $13.50, MP raises to $31.50, Hero ???

      Anon table.

      MP played 23/14 after 120 hands, AFq 45, wtsd 23 so far.

      Flop/turn standard I guess, river clear valuebet vs Ax/Kx. But what would you do after his chRaise? It would be a weird bluff from him, and his valuerange is quite narrow in this spot. Potodds are 22%.
      I only beat AK, but I'm not sure how many combos to count with (it's pretty sure, that not all of them...). If I take 3 combos out of the possible 9, I dont have the odds to call.

      Board: K:heart: 2:club: 3:diamond:  A:club:  5:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP3    80.00%  80.00%   0.00% { KK+, 33, AKs, A4s, AhKd }
      BU     20.00%  20.00%   0.00% { 2d2s }
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909

      As played, river is a bet/fold imo.. you don't get odds and I don't see people constructing bluffs in this spot.

      On the flop though, I would usually raise, expecting any Kx to come along, possibly TT+ as well. My image is 'shitty' enough to not get credit here with my set.