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[NL2-NL10] A7s

    • metza
      metza
      Bronze
      Joined: 28.01.2012 Posts: 2,220
      Full Tilt - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 2 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      BB: $7.86
      Hero (SB): $10.05

      Hero posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero has 7:diamond: A:diamond:

      Hero raises to $0.20, BB raises to $7.86 and is all-in, Hero calls $7.66

      Flop: ($15.72, 2 players) 2:heart: 3:club: Q:club:

      Turn: ($15.72, 2 players) K:diamond:

      River: ($15.72, 2 players) 4:club:

      BB shows K:club: 3:heart: (Two Pair, Kings and Threes) (Pre 34%, Flop 78%, Turn 100%)
      Hero shows 7:diamond: A:diamond: (High Card, Ace) (Pre 66%, Flop 22%, Turn 0%)
      BB wins $15.22

      Guy has 71% PFR
      And by PFR, I mean shoving all in preflop.

      Standard call?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Metza,

      Preflop: We are really just gambling here. We still need 50% equity to make this breakeven.

      Even against a 70% range we have 58% equity:

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 41.63% 39.49% 2.14% 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J2s+, T2s+, 92s+, 84s+, 74s+, 63s+, 53s+, 43s, A2o+, K2o+, Q3o+, J5o+, T6o+, 96o+, 86o+, 76o
      MP3 58.37% 56.23% 2.14% Ad7d


      Vs 50% range we have 55%, and vs 30% range we have 50% equity.

      So as you can see our advantage is minimal and this is very close to pure gambling.

      So folding preflop wouldn't be a huge mistake.

      Btw, don't forget that advise judge button :)